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Cross lag analysis of cumulative ecological risk and future orientation with health risk behaviors among higher vocational college students
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Zhi ZENG1, Gang FU1, Ke LI1, Meifeng WANG1, Lian WU2, Tiancheng ZHANG*, 3, Fulan ZHANG3
Chinese Journal of School Health | 2025, 46(3) : 348 - 352
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Chinese Journal of School Health | 2025, 46(3): 348-352
• Health Education and Promotion •
Cross lag analysis of cumulative ecological risk and future orientation with health risk behaviors among higher vocational college students
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Zhi ZENG1, Gang FU1, Ke LI1, Meifeng WANG1, Lian WU2, Tiancheng ZHANG*, 3, Fulan ZHANG3
Affiliations
  • 1Department of Physical Education, Basic Courses, Xiangxi Vocational and Technical College for Nationalities, Xiangxi Tujia and Miao Autonomous Prefecture (416000), Hunan Province, China
Published: 2025-03-25 doi: 10.16835/j.cnki.1000-9817.2025092
Outline
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Objective

To explore the causal link of cumulative ecological risk and future orientation with health risk behaviors among higher vocational college students, so as to provide reference for reducing and preventing health risk behaviors among higher vocational college students.

Methods

A longitudinal follow-up study was conducted on 612 students using convenience sampling from 2 vocational colleges in Hunan Province. The Cumulative Ecological Risk Scale, Future Orientation Scale, and Health Risk Behavior Scale were used during three follow-up visits (T1: September 2022, T2: June 2023, T3: March 2024), and a cross-lagged panel model was constructed to examine the longitudinal causal relationship of cumulative ecological risk, future orientation and health risk behaviors. Analysis of longitudinal intermediary effect between variables by Bootstrap.

Results

The cumulative ecological risk scores of T1, T2 and T3 among higher vocational college students were (2.94±1.44, 2.99±1.63, 3.02±1.54), future orientation scores (40.49±4.71, 41.51±5.72, 41.06±4.35) and health risk behavior scores (3.73±2.01, 3.49±2.00, 3.23±2.00). The results of repeated measures ANOVA showed that the future orientation score of T2 was higher than that of T1, and the main effect of measurement time was statistically significant (F=5.09, P < 0.01, η2=0.02). The health risk behavior score of T1 was higher than that of T2, and the health risk behavior score of T2 was higher than that of T3, and the main effect of measurement time was statistically significant (F=10.12, P < 0.01, η2=0.03).The cross-lagged model showed good adaptability, with χ2/df=7.20 (P < 0.01), relative fitting indicators GFI=0.98, CFI=0.99, TLI=0.96, IFI=0.99, NFI=0.99, and absolute fitting indicator RMSEA=0.06. Among them, the T1, T2 cumulative ecological risk showed negatively predictive effects on T2, T3 future orientation (β=-0.24, -0.47), and T1, T2 cumulative ecological risk positively predicted T2, T3 health risk behavior (β=0.20, 0.24), while T1, T2 future orientation negatively predicted T2, T3 health risk behavior (β=-0.25, -0.18) (P < 0.01). Bootstrap test analysis found that T2 future orientation had a longitudinal mediating effect (β=0.04, P < 0.01) on the T1 cumulative ecological risk and T3 health risk behavior.

Conclusions

The accumulation of ecological risk among higher vocational college students can positively predict health-risk behaviors, while future orientation can negatively predict health-risk behaviors. Moreover, future orientation plays a longitudinal mediating role between accumulated ecological risks and health-risk behaviors.

Cumulative ecological risk  /  Dangerous behavior  /  Mental health  /  Cross-over studies  /  Students
曾直, 符刚, 李可, 王美芬, 伍炼, 张天成, 张福兰. 高等职业院校学生累积生态风险与未来取向及健康危险行为的交叉滞后分析. 中国学校卫生, 2025 , 46 (3) : 348 -352 . DOI: 10.16835/j.cnki.1000-9817.2025092
Zhi ZENG, Gang FU, Ke LI, Meifeng WANG, Lian WU, Tiancheng ZHANG, Fulan ZHANG. Cross lag analysis of cumulative ecological risk and future orientation with health risk behaviors among higher vocational college students[J]. Chinese Journal of School Health, 2025 , 46 (3) : 348 -352 . DOI: 10.16835/j.cnki.1000-9817.2025092
Year 2025 volume 46 Issue 3
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Article Info
doi: 10.16835/j.cnki.1000-9817.2025092
  • Receive Date:2024-09-30
  • Online Date:2026-11-06
  • Published:2025-03-25
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  • Received:2024-09-30
  • Revised:2025-02-05
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    1Department of Physical Education, Basic Courses, Xiangxi Vocational and Technical College for Nationalities, Xiangxi Tujia and Miao Autonomous Prefecture (416000), Hunan Province, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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