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Study on fluctuation rules of CCFI main routes based on empirical mode decomposition
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Weili Wang*, Sitian Yin, Yiwen Wang
Navigation of China | 2026, 49(2) : 78 - 86
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Navigation of China | 2026, 49(2): 78-86
Port and Waterway Engineering
Study on fluctuation rules of CCFI main routes based on empirical mode decomposition
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Weili Wang*, Sitian Yin, Yiwen Wang
Affiliations
  • Logistics Research Center, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 201306, China
Published: 2026-04-25 doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-4653.2026.02.009
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With the continuous development of the shipping market, the China Containerized Freight Index (CCFI) serves as an important indicator for measuring the state of the global container shipping market, and research on its fluctuation characteristics is conducted to help market participants better grasp market dynamics and formulate effective market strategies. To address the issue that CCFI fluctuations are influenced by multiple factors, this paper focused on the composition of the CCFI, selected five major representative routes. First, decomposed the freight index of each route using the Improved Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (ICEEMDAN) algorithm optimized by particle swarm adaptation. Second, reconstructed the components into high-frequency and low-frequency parts based on the variance contribution rate. Finally, the BEKK-GARCH model was used to analyze the volatility effects of the original series and the three groups of reconstructed series for the selected routes, and the volatility relationships between different route markets were obtained. The research results show that the impact of major events on CCFI fluctuations is profound, while the impact of short-term market behaviors and sudden events is smaller in magnitude, shorter in duration and higher in frequency; bidirectional spillover effects exist among the trend terms of the freight indices of all routes, and these effects are transmitted to one another.

waterway transportation economy  /  volatility characteristics  /  ICEEMDAN  /  CCFI  /  volatility spillover effect
Weili Wang, Sitian Yin, Yiwen Wang. Study on fluctuation rules of CCFI main routes based on empirical mode decomposition[J]. Navigation of China, 2026 , 49 (2) : 78 -86 . DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-4653.2026.02.009
Year 2026 volume 49 Issue 2
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doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-4653.2026.02.009
  • Receive Date:2025-04-10
  • Online Date:2026-05-19
  • Published:2026-04-25
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  • Received:2025-04-10
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    Logistics Research Center, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 201306, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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