收藏切换
Analysis of the impact of tropical cyclones on shipping routes in the Western Pacific based on a clustering method
收藏切换
PDF
Yu Wang1, Shengjun Wang2, Shenping Hu2, *, Xinda He3, Xiangqian Meng2
Navigation of China | 2026, 49(2) : 34 - 41
Less
收藏切换
Navigation of China | 2026, 49(2): 34-41
Marine Traffic Safety
Analysis of the impact of tropical cyclones on shipping routes in the Western Pacific based on a clustering method
Full
Yu Wang1, Shengjun Wang2, Shenping Hu2, *, Xinda He3, Xiangqian Meng2
Affiliations
  • 1.Hainan Railway Co., Ltd., Haikou 570100, China
  • 2.Merchant Marine College, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 201306, China
  • 3.Weihai Wuchuan Shipbuilding Co., Ltd., Weihai 264200, China
Published: 2026-04-25 doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-4653.2026.02.004
Outline
收藏切换

To enhance the safety and efficiency of maritime route planning, this study proposes a hybrid clustering method integrating multiple algorithms to evaluate the impact of tropical cyclones in the Western Pacific. Firstly, using tropical cyclone data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), we characterize genesis patterns, intensity variations, and track features of tropical cyclones from 1924 to 2023. Secondly, the K-means clustering algorithm is employed to analyze spatiotemporal distribution, movement speed and direction, while a Gaussian Mixture Model(GMM)is used to identify hotspot regions and high-frequency activity belts. Finally, to overcome the limitations of two-dimensional clustering, we propose a hybrid clustering approach combining 2D and 3D clustering analyses. By overlaying tropical cyclone tracks with major shipping routes, we reveal their potential impacts on maritime safety. Experimental results demonstrate that tropical cyclones primarily affect latitudes between 10°N and 25°N, with seasonal variations:cyclones are generally weaker and more localized in winter-spring, whereas typhoons are stronger and more frequent in summer-autumn. In terms of movement direction, low-latitude cyclones initially move westward from east and then recurve northward near 15°N, while high-latitude cyclones move westward before turning northeastward. The hybrid clustering method effectively identifies tropical cyclone risk zones, providing critical references for shipping route planning and risk management.

navigation safety  /  shipping route planning  /  clustering algorithms  /  tropical cyclones  /  maritime route safety  /  the Western Pacific
Yu Wang, Shengjun Wang, Shenping Hu, Xinda He, Xiangqian Meng. Analysis of the impact of tropical cyclones on shipping routes in the Western Pacific based on a clustering method[J]. Navigation of China, 2026 , 49 (2) : 34 -41 . DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-4653.2026.02.004
Year 2026 volume 49 Issue 2
PDF
48
7
Cite this Article
BibTeX
Article Info
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-4653.2026.02.004
  • Receive Date:2025-03-12
  • Online Date:2026-05-19
  • Published:2026-04-25
Article Data
Affiliations
History
  • Received:2025-03-12
Funding
Affiliations
    1.Hainan Railway Co., Ltd., Haikou 570100, China
    2.Merchant Marine College, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 201306, China
    3.Weihai Wuchuan Shipbuilding Co., Ltd., Weihai 264200, China
References
Share
https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/zghh/EN/10.3969/j.issn.1000-4653.2026.02.004
Share to
QR

Scan QR to access full text

Cite this article
BibTeX
Citations
表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
关闭全屏
  • BibTeX
  • EndNote
  • RefWorks
  • TxT