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Shipping greenhouse gas emission reduction model and fuel path analysis
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Jinfeng Hao, Zhongqiu Zhao*, Zhaoxin Qiang, Chengshun Zhang, Zhonggang Li, Yugang Bai
Navigation of China | 2026, 49(2) : 144 - 152
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Navigation of China | 2026, 49(2): 144-152
Green Shipping
Shipping greenhouse gas emission reduction model and fuel path analysis
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Jinfeng Hao, Zhongqiu Zhao*, Zhaoxin Qiang, Chengshun Zhang, Zhonggang Li, Yugang Bai
Affiliations
  • China Ship Design and Research Center Co, Ltd, Beijing 100081, China
Published: 2026-04-25 doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-4653.2026.02.017
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To address global climate change and achieve the greenhouse gas reduction targets set by the International Maritime Organization (IMO), the global fleet faces complex challenges in balancing emission reduction effectiveness and economic feasibility during energy transition and fuel pathway selection, necessitating more systematic assessment and optimization of fleet-level emission reduction pathways. Existing research still lacks comprehensive comparative analysis of multi-fuel pathways, particularly systematic comparisons that balance carbon reduction effects and cost-effectiveness, making it difficult to support scientific decision-making for fleet decarbonization routes. To address these issues, a technology-economic assessment method for evaluating and optimizing shipping greenhouse gas reduction pathways is proposed. First, taking the global fleet as the research object, quantitative modeling and feature extraction of carbon reduction amounts and costs are conducted for each of the 18 preset fuel pathways. Second, a comprehensive evaluation index is established to account for both carbon reduction effects and economic feasibility, enabling coupled comparisons of multiple fuel pathways in terms of emission reduction potential and cost constraints. Combined with scenario analysis and pathway optimization mechanisms, a complete technical assessment framework is formed. The results indicate that pathways primarily based on methanol have the lowest carbon reduction costs, followed by ammonia pathways, while green methanol pathways outperform Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG)-based pathways. Green methanol and ammonia fuel pathways demonstrate the best carbon reduction performance. Considering medium-to long-term perspectives, green methanol and green ammonia can serve as optimal fuel choices, providing a feasible technical pathway for global fleet greenhouse gas reduction route planning and fuel transition decision-making.

green shipping  /  fuel path optimization  /  techno-economic analysis  /  global fleet  /  methanol fuel  /  ammonia fuel
Jinfeng Hao, Zhongqiu Zhao, Zhaoxin Qiang, Chengshun Zhang, Zhonggang Li, Yugang Bai. Shipping greenhouse gas emission reduction model and fuel path analysis[J]. Navigation of China, 2026 , 49 (2) : 144 -152 . DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-4653.2026.02.017
Year 2026 volume 49 Issue 2
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doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-4653.2026.02.017
  • Receive Date:2025-01-14
  • Online Date:2026-05-19
  • Published:2026-04-25
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  • Received:2025-01-14
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    China Ship Design and Research Center Co, Ltd, Beijing 100081, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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