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Construction and factor analysis of accident causation model for long-distance oil and gas pipelines
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Qian WANG1, Weichun CHANG2, Jingrong ZHAO1, Zhihao WANG1, Zenian GOU2, Ruipeng TONG**, 1
China Safety Science Journal | 2025, 35(12) : 111 - 118
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China Safety Science Journal | 2025, 35(12): 111-118
• Safety engineering technology •
Construction and factor analysis of accident causation model for long-distance oil and gas pipelines
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Qian WANG1, Weichun CHANG2, Jingrong ZHAO1, Zhihao WANG1, Zenian GOU2, Ruipeng TONG**, 1
Affiliations
  • 1School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, China
  • 2PipeChina Research Institute of Science and Technology, Tianjin 300457, China
Published: 2025-12-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.12.0535
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In order to explore the theoretical connotation and practical path of the systematic causation model of oil and gas pipeline accidents, 241 domestic and international oil and gas long-distance pipeline accidents were counted first, and the types of domestic and foreign accident causes and the contents of investigation reports were compared and analyzed. Secondly, we integrated the factor system of HFACS model and the hierarchical structure of STAMP model, and put forward an accident causation model that covers 4 system levels and 17 influencing factors. Finally, the N-K model and social network analysis method were used to carry out risk coupling calculation, network model construction, centrality analysis and core-edge analysis. The results show that equipment failure and pipeline corrosion account for 35.3% and 22.8% of the causes of oil and gas long-distance pipeline accidents. The risk coupling value is directly proportional to the number of system-level couplings. Inadequate safety training, delayed emergency response, lack of safety oversight, lack of risk awareness, lack of risk communication, behavioral violations and equipment process issues are the core influences on the accidents. The full life cycle management of accidents includes the reduction phase, readiness phase, response phase, and recovery phase.

oil and gas long-distance pipeline accidents  /  accident causation model  /  accident influencing factors  /  systems theoretic accident modeling and processes(STAMP)  /  human factors analysis and classification system (HFACS)  /  N-K model  /  social network analysis
Qian WANG, Weichun CHANG, Jingrong ZHAO, Zhihao WANG, Zenian GOU, Ruipeng TONG. Construction and factor analysis of accident causation model for long-distance oil and gas pipelines[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2025 , 35 (12) : 111 -118 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.12.0535
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Year 2025 volume 35 Issue 12
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Article Info
doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.12.0535
  • Receive Date：2025-07-14
  • Online Date：2026-07-09
  • Published：2025-12-28
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  • Received：2025-07-14
  • Revised：2025-09-18
Funding
Affiliations
    1School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, China
    2PipeChina Research Institute of Science and Technology, Tianjin 300457, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
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Number of
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小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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