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Fire prediction in urban villages based on improved grey wolf optimized BP network
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Shuran LYU, Jiangxue TIAN, Xinyu DANG
China Safety Science Journal | 2025, 35(8) : 196 - 204
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China Safety Science Journal | 2025, 35(8): 196-204
Public safety
Fire prediction in urban villages based on improved grey wolf optimized BP network
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Shuran LYU, Jiangxue TIAN, Xinyu DANG
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  • School of Management Engineering, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing 100070, China
Published: 2025-08-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.08.1426
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In order to prevent fires in urban villages, IGWO and BP neural network were used to predict the risk of fires in urban villages. By introducing nonlinear convergence factors and mutation operators, the traditional grey wolf optimizer (GWO) was improved to enhance its global search capability, convergence speed, and stability. Furthermore, a fire risk prediction model for urban villages based on IGWO optimized BP neural network (IGWO-BP) was constructed. Taking into account the complexity and specificity of urban village fire risk factors, an indicator system was developed to predict fire risk, and an empirical study was conducted for verification. The results show that IGWO has significantly improved global search ability, convergence speed, and stability compared to traditional GWO, particle swarm optimization (PSO), and the Great Wall construction algorithm (GWCA). The IGWO-BP model can predict fire risk in urban villages by processing fire risk indicators.

improved grey wolf optimizer (IGWO)  /  back propagation (BP) neural network  /  urban villages fire  /  risk prediction  /  mutation operator  /  high-dimensional function
Shuran LYU, Jiangxue TIAN, Xinyu DANG. Fire prediction in urban villages based on improved grey wolf optimized BP network[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2025 , 35 (8) : 196 -204 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.08.1426
Year 2025 volume 35 Issue 8
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doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.08.1426
  • Receive Date:2025-03-05
  • Online Date:2026-07-09
  • Published:2025-08-28
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  • Received:2025-03-05
  • Revised:2025-05-20
Affiliations
    School of Management Engineering, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing 100070, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
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占总种数比例
Percentage of
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种数
Number of
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Percentage of total
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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