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Emergency response capacity assessment for urban flooding disasters based on improved DS theory and FBN
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Donghua LIU, Ruiyang ZHANG, Li GUO
China Safety Science Journal | 2025, 35(5) : 255 - 262
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收藏切换
China Safety Science Journal | 2025, 35(5): 255-262
Emergency technology and management
Emergency response capacity assessment for urban flooding disasters based on improved DS theory and FBN
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Donghua LIU, Ruiyang ZHANG, Li GUO
Affiliations
  • School of Resources Engineering, Xi'an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi'an Shaanxi 710055, China
Published: 2025-05-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.05.1448
Outline
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In order to improve the emergency response capacity of urban flooding disasters, an emergency response capacity assessment model based on the combination of improved DS evidence theory and FBN was proposed. Firstly, from the whole process of disaster emergency management, the urban flood disaster emergency response capacity assessment index system was established and mapped into a Bayesian network (BN) model. Then, to address the problems of information uncertainty and strong subjectivity in the assessment process, the improved DS theory was introduced to determine the index weights. The expert knowledge combined with the fuzzy set was used to quantify the prior probability of the root node. The accident tree was applied to analyze the key indexes, and the Sorting center of mass method was used to assign basic event probabilities. The probability of flooding disaster risk was calculated through the BN model. Emergency response capacity assessment and reasoning analysis were carried out on the basis of the above results. Finally, take the main urban area of Zhengzhou city as an example, GeNIe4.0 software was used to generate the BN model of emergency response capacity assessment of flooding disaster, and the emergency response capacity level and sensitive indexes of flooding disaster in the city were obtained. The results show that the emergency response capacity of the main urban area of the city is good. The sensitive indicators affecting the emergency response capacity are timeliness of the emergency response, normality of the warning information release, professionalism of the emergency response and accuracy of flooding information feedback.

fuzzy Bayesian networks (FBN)  /  DS theory  /  urban flooding disaster  /  emergency capacity assessment  /  urban stormwater systems
Donghua LIU, Ruiyang ZHANG, Li GUO. Emergency response capacity assessment for urban flooding disasters based on improved DS theory and FBN[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2025 , 35 (5) : 255 -262 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.05.1448
Year 2025 volume 35 Issue 5
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doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.05.1448
  • Receive Date:2024-12-11
  • Online Date:2026-07-08
  • Published:2025-05-28
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  • Received:2024-12-11
  • Revised:2025-02-19
Affiliations
    School of Resources Engineering, Xi'an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi'an Shaanxi 710055, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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