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Study on dissemination and academic influence of 24Model
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Yuxuan LU1, Chun YANG2, Meng HAN1, Chenhui YUAN1, Jinkun ZHAO1, Xuecai XIE**, 3
China Safety Science Journal | 2026, 36(3) : 49 - 57
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China Safety Science Journal | 2026, 36(3): 49-57
Safety Science Theories and Methods
Study on dissemination and academic influence of 24Model
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Yuxuan LU1, Chun YANG2, Meng HAN1, Chenhui YUAN1, Jinkun ZHAO1, Xuecai XIE**, 3
Affiliations
  • 1School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China
  • 2China Resources Power Technology Research Institute Co., Ltd., Shenzhen Guangdong 518001, China
  • 3School of Engineering and Technology, China University of Geosciences (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China
Published: 2026-03-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.03.1165
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The 24Model, as an original and systematic accident causation theory in China, has been widely applied in the field of safety science since 2005. However, a comprehensive review of its theoretical development and application trends is still lacking. A systematic search and stratified screening were conducted based on the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA) framework. A scoping review approach was employed to perform structured coding and data extraction from the 357 screened Chinese- and English-language publications. Subsequently, data analyses, including cross-tabulation analysis and chi-square tests, were carried out. The results indicate that research on the 24Model has shown a sustained growth trend and has begun to disseminate globally. Its application domains have expanded from the coal mining industry to complex system industries such as the chemical sector. In addition, application paradigms have evolved from qualitative analysis to quantitative modeling, from post-accident analysis to proactive prevention, and from traditional analytical approaches to digital and intelligent technologies. The systematic model has been further developed and refined in the fifth and sixth editions, providing a new theoretical framework for safety analysis in complex systems. This study suggests that future research on the 24Model may continue to focus on deepening its systematic theoretical foundations, innovating preventive applications, and integrating digital and intelligent technologies.

accident causation  /  "2-4"model(24Model)  /  accident analysis  /  digital and intelligent applications  /  risk identification
Yuxuan LU, Chun YANG, Meng HAN, Chenhui YUAN, Jinkun ZHAO, Xuecai XIE. Study on dissemination and academic influence of 24Model[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2026 , 36 (3) : 49 -57 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.03.1165
Year 2026 volume 36 Issue 3
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Article Info
doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.03.1165
  • Receive Date:2025-10-23
  • Online Date:2026-07-08
  • Published:2026-03-28
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  • Received:2025-10-23
  • Revised:2026-01-08
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Affiliations
    1School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China
    2China Resources Power Technology Research Institute Co., Ltd., Shenzhen Guangdong 518001, China
    3School of Engineering and Technology, China University of Geosciences (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
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Number of
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占总种数比例
Percentage of
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Percentage of total
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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