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Identification of rainstorm disaster chain in urban rail transit system based on event evolutionary graph
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Hongxia TANG1, Xiaojie WANG**, 1, Mengdi LI2, Zhiguo SHAO1, 3
China Safety Science Journal | 2026, 36(4) : 252 - 261
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China Safety Science Journal | 2026, 36(4): 252-261
Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Technology and Engineering
Identification of rainstorm disaster chain in urban rail transit system based on event evolutionary graph
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Hongxia TANG1, Xiaojie WANG**, 1, Mengdi LI2, Zhiguo SHAO1, 3
Affiliations
  • 1School of Management Engineering, Qingdao University of Technology, Qingdao Shandong 266525, Shandong, China
  • 2School of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China
  • 3Tongji University Sustainable Development and New-type Urbanization Think-tank, Shanghai 200092, China
Published: 2026-04-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.04.1718
Outline
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In order to scientifically identify the key disaster-causing factors and key disaster-causing paths in the urban rail transit system's flood disaster chain, and enhance the resilience of these systems, a study was conducted based on news report text data related to the urban rail transit flood disasters from 2010 to 2024. Natural language processing technology and a rule-based template matching method were used to extract causal event pairs. The t-Distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding (t-SNE) method was used to generalize the extracted event pairs, and the abstract event evolutionary graph of rainstorm disaster in the urban rail transit system was constructed, which was visualized as a disaster chain evolution network combined with Gephi. The complex network theory was introduced to quantitatively analyze the rainstorm disaster chain evolution network of the urban rail transit system, and identify the key disaster factors and key disaster paths in the disaster chain. The results show that the four types of disaster events, rainstorm, station water, subway shutdown and equipment failure, are of high importance and are the key disaster factors in the rainstorm disaster chain evolution network of the urban rail transit system. The three evolutionary paths of "road water → station water", "subway shutdown → economic loss" and "road water → rainwater backpouring" have high vulnerability, which are the key disaster paths in the rainstorm disaster chain evolution network of the urban rail transit system. The identified key disaster-causing factors and key disaster-causing paths can provide decision support for disaster prevention and mitigation.

urban rail transit  /  event evolutionary graph  /  rainstorm disaster chain  /  complex network  /  causality
Hongxia TANG, Xiaojie WANG, Mengdi LI, Zhiguo SHAO. Identification of rainstorm disaster chain in urban rail transit system based on event evolutionary graph[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2026 , 36 (4) : 252 -261 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.04.1718
Year 2026 volume 36 Issue 4
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Article Info
doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.04.1718
  • Receive Date:2025-10-10
  • Online Date:2026-07-08
  • Published:2026-04-28
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  • Received:2025-10-10
  • Revised:2025-12-21
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Affiliations
    1School of Management Engineering, Qingdao University of Technology, Qingdao Shandong 266525, Shandong, China
    2School of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China
    3Tongji University Sustainable Development and New-type Urbanization Think-tank, Shanghai 200092, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

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Number of
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Number of
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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