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Risk assessment for physical hazard-bearing bodies based on consequences of hazardous chemical accidents and vulnerability
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Wenling Guan1, Yutong Wang1, Li Wang1, **, Changxing Ren2, Chengjie Dong1
China Safety Science Journal | 2026, 36(5) : 105 - 112
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China Safety Science Journal | 2026, 36(5): 105-112
Safety Technology and Engineering
Risk assessment for physical hazard-bearing bodies based on consequences of hazardous chemical accidents and vulnerability
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Wenling Guan1, Yutong Wang1, Li Wang1, **, Changxing Ren2, Chengjie Dong1
Affiliations
  • 1 School of Environmental Science and Safety Engineering, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin 300384, China
  • 2 Tianjin Fire Science and Technology Research Institute of MEM, Tianjin 300381, China
Published: 2026-05-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.05.1819
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To enhance the importance of buildings and bridges as physical hazard-bearing bodies for hazardous chemical accidents in regional risk assessment. In this paper, a physical vulnerability assessment model was established, and a risk assessment method was proposed, which considered the hazardous chemical accident consequences and the physical vulnerability of hazard-bearing bodies. Firstly, areal locations of hazardous atmospheres (ALOHA) was used to simulate the possible risk footprints of hazards. Secondly, a physical vulnerability assessment model including exposure, sensitivity and adaptability was established. Density of structures and distance from the accident center supply were selected as the exposure dimension layer. The age of the structures, building height, seismic grade of building and bridge length were selected as sensitivity dimension layer. Emergency shelter area, road area and infrastructure maintenance funds were selected as the adaptability index layer, and the driving force factors of physical hazard-bearing body vulnerability were analyzed through the geographical detector. Finally, arc geographic information system (ArcGIS) was used to superimpose the accident consequence map and the physical vulnerability map to generate a comprehensive risk map to realize the comprehensive risk visualization of hazard-bearing body. This method was applied to the risk assessment of physical hazard-bearing bodies in a town of Tianjin. The results show that the density of structures and the distance from the accident center have the strongest explanatory power for the vulnerability of physical hazard-bearing bodies. The explanatory power of these two factors is 0.515 and 0.464, respectively. High-risk areas result from the spatial overlap of high hazard and high vulnerability. The comprehensive regional risk resulting from the combination of accident consequences and vulnerability exhibits significant spatial variation. On the accident consequence map, the eastern part of the town near the hazard release point is the most dangerous area. However, owing to the low vulnerability of disaster-bearing bodies in the surrounding area of the release point, it is classified as a medium-risk zone on the comprehensive risk map.

consequences of hazardous chemical accidents  /  vulnerability  /  physical hazard-bearing body  /  risk assessment  /  hazard footprint
Wenling Guan, Yutong Wang, Li Wang, Changxing Ren, Chengjie Dong. Risk assessment for physical hazard-bearing bodies based on consequences of hazardous chemical accidents and vulnerability[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2026 , 36 (5) : 105 -112 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.05.1819
Year 2026 volume 36 Issue 5
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Article Info
doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.05.1819
  • Receive Date:2026-01-03
  • Online Date:2026-06-29
  • Published:2026-05-28
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  • Received:2026-01-03
  • Revised:2026-03-20
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    1 School of Environmental Science and Safety Engineering, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin 300384, China
    2 Tianjin Fire Science and Technology Research Institute of MEM, Tianjin 300381, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
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Number of
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Number of
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Number of
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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