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Coupling mechanism of air traffic operation safety risk based on N-K-FRAM
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Yike LI1, 2, Honghai ZHANG1, 2, **, Zongbei SHI1, 2, Jinlun ZHOU1, 2
China Safety Science Journal | 2024, 34(5) : 175 - 185
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China Safety Science Journal | 2024, 34(5): 175-185
• Safety engineering technology •
Coupling mechanism of air traffic operation safety risk based on N-K-FRAM
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Yike LI1, 2, Honghai ZHANG1, 2, **, Zongbei SHI1, 2, Jinlun ZHOU1, 2
Affiliations
  • 1 College of Civil Aviation，Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics，Nanjing Jiangsu 211106，China
  • 2 Key Laboratory of National Air Traffic Control Flight Flow Management Technology，Nanjing Jiangsu 211106，China
Published: 2024-05-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2024.05.1552
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In order to explore the coupled evolution mechanism of air traffic operation safety risk，clarify the mechanism of coupling and mutation formation in air traffic operation systems based on a combination of the N-K model and FRAM. Firstly，textual data on unsafe incidents was collected. The risk factors involved were categorized，and their historical frequency of occurrence and the coupling relationship between risk factors were obtained. Secondly，the N-K model was used to solve the coupling degree values between air traffic operational risk factors. Finally，based on the output time and accuracy，the variability of the FRAM functional module was quantitatively evaluated，analyzing the coupling mechanism of air traffic operational safety risks，and safety risk analysis was conducted using regional area navigation(RNAV)approach unsafe events and deviation route unsafe events as examples. The results indicate that the evaluation method based on improved FRAM can quantitatively calculate the variability between functional modules in a reasonable and effective manner，weaken the dependence of traditional analysis methods on subjective consciousness，and make the analysis results more objective and scientific.

air traffic operations  /  safety risk coupling  /  N-K model  /  functional resonance analysis method (FRAM)  /  unsafe events
Yike LI, Honghai ZHANG, Zongbei SHI, Jinlun ZHOU. Coupling mechanism of air traffic operation safety risk based on N-K-FRAM[J]. China Safety Science Journal(CSSJ), 2024 , 34 (5) : 175 -185 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2024.05.1552
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Year 2024 volume 34 Issue 5
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Article Info
doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2024.05.1552
  • Receive Date：2023-11-20
  • Online Date：2025-07-14
  • Published：2024-05-28
Article Data
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History
  • Received：2023-11-20
  • Revised：2024-02-21
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Affiliations
    1 College of Civil Aviation，Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics，Nanjing Jiangsu 211106，China
    2 Key Laboratory of National Air Traffic Control Flight Flow Management Technology，Nanjing Jiangsu 211106，China
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Citations
表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family		 属数
Number of
genus		 种数
Number of
species		 占总种数比例
Percentage of
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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