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Vehicle trajectory prediction based on EKF-GRU
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Chuanying ZHANG1, Guoyan XU1, Zhifa CHEN1, Bin ZHOU1, Liwei CHEN2, Wei HONG2
China Safety Science Journal | 2024, 34(6) : 164 - 172
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China Safety Science Journal | 2024, 34(6): 164-172
Safety engineering technology
Vehicle trajectory prediction based on EKF-GRU
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Chuanying ZHANG1, Guoyan XU1, Zhifa CHEN1, Bin ZHOU1, Liwei CHEN2, Wei HONG2
Affiliations
  • 1 School of Transportation Science and Engineering,Beihang University,Beijing 100191,China
  • 2 Guizhou Kaiyuan Explosive Engineering Co.,Ltd.,Guiyang Guizhou 551400,China
Published: 2024-06-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2024.06.0720
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To enhance the driving safety and achieve correct decision planning for autonomous vehicles,a safe driving trajectory prediction method based on EKF-GRU was proposed. By combining learning-based methods with physics-based approaches,the prediction accuracy was improved and the rationality of the predicted trajectories was enhanced. In the first step of this method,a prediction network was constructed based on GRU to predict the longitudinal acceleration and yaw angular velocity of vehicles by extracting historical trajectory features. In the second step,an EKF state estimator was built based on the nonlinear vehicle kinematics to generate the vehicle's future limited-time trajectory,incorporating the observations obtained previously. The trajectory prediction method was validated on the NGSIM I-80 and US-101 multi-vehicle trajectory datasets. Experimental results demonstrate that the final distance errors (FDE),root mean square errors (RMSE),and average distance errors (ADE) of the predicted trajectories generated by traditional physics-based methods are 6.48,7.69 and 3.03 meters,respectively. In contrast,trajectories predicted using EKF-GRU exhibit higher accuracy,and the corresponding values are 5.45,6.67 and 2.56 meters,respectively. This represents improvements of 15.90%,13.26% and 15.51%.

extended Kalman filtering (EKF)  /  gate recurrent unit (GRU)  /  vehicle trajectory  /  trajectory prediction  /  next generation simulation (NGSIM) dataset  /  neural network
Chuanying ZHANG, Guoyan XU, Zhifa CHEN, Bin ZHOU, Liwei CHEN, Wei HONG. Vehicle trajectory prediction based on EKF-GRU[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2024 , 34 (6) : 164 -172 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2024.06.0720
Year 2024 volume 34 Issue 6
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Article Info
doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2024.06.0720
  • Receive Date:2023-12-14
  • Online Date:2025-07-09
  • Published:2024-06-28
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  • Received:2023-12-14
  • Revised:2024-03-19
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Affiliations
    1 School of Transportation Science and Engineering,Beihang University,Beijing 100191,China
    2 Guizhou Kaiyuan Explosive Engineering Co.,Ltd.,Guiyang Guizhou 551400,China
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多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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