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Drilling risk analysis approach based on historical grey information of adjacent wells
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Kai WEI1, 2, Chenyang WANG1, 2, Desheng WU3, Yong GUO3, Hualin LIAO4
China Safety Science Journal | 2024, 34(6) : 99 - 108
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China Safety Science Journal | 2024, 34(6): 99-108
Safety engineering technology
Drilling risk analysis approach based on historical grey information of adjacent wells
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Kai WEI1, 2, Chenyang WANG1, 2, Desheng WU3, Yong GUO3, Hualin LIAO4
Affiliations
  • 1 National Engineering Research Center for Oil & Gas Drilling and Completion Technology,Yangtze University,Wuhan Hubei 430100,China
  • 2 Hubei Key Laboratory of Oil and Gas Drilling and Production Engineering,Yangtze University,Wuhan Hubei 430100,China
  • 3 Engineering Technology Research Institute,PetroChina Xinjiang Oilfield Company,Karamay Xinjiang 834000,China
  • 4 School of Petroleum Engineering,China University of petroleum,Qingdao Shandong 266580,China
Published: 2024-06-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2024.06.1575
Outline
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To address the low prediction performance of drilling risks in unknown formations during oil and gas development,a drilling risk assessment approach based on grey adjacent well information was proposed. Firstly,a three-parameter interval grey number was proposed to present formation information. Secondly,the depth adjustment and weighted interpolation methods were used to develop a target well gray wellbore information matrix based on adjacent well information. Subsequently,a three-parameter grey safety drilling fluid density window was proposed. Then,a risk assessment model including overflow,well leakage,collapse,and adhesion was developed based on generalized strength-interference theory. Finally,a case study was performed on five wells in an oil field in western China. The results indicated that introduced concept of wellbore information matrix and optimization parameter description of depth adjustment and weighted interpolation effectively presented the profile of the target well's wellbore information. The grey safe drilling fluid density window developed by three-parameter interval grey numbers and wellbore information matrix significantly reduced uncertainty in drilling risk assessment. The evaluation results from drilling risk assessment model based on generalized strength-interference theory agreed well with that in real situations,providing reliable fundamental knowledge for drilling risk assessment.

adjacent well grey information  /  drilling risk  /  three-parameter interval gray number  /  wellbore information matrix  /  safety drilling fluid density window
Kai WEI, Chenyang WANG, Desheng WU, Yong GUO, Hualin LIAO. Drilling risk analysis approach based on historical grey information of adjacent wells[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2024 , 34 (6) : 99 -108 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2024.06.1575
Year 2024 volume 34 Issue 6
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Article Info
doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2024.06.1575
  • Receive Date:2023-12-17
  • Online Date:2025-07-09
  • Published:2024-06-28
Article Data
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History
  • Received:2023-12-17
  • Revised:2024-03-20
Funding
Affiliations
    1 National Engineering Research Center for Oil & Gas Drilling and Completion Technology,Yangtze University,Wuhan Hubei 430100,China
    2 Hubei Key Laboratory of Oil and Gas Drilling and Production Engineering,Yangtze University,Wuhan Hubei 430100,China
    3 Engineering Technology Research Institute,PetroChina Xinjiang Oilfield Company,Karamay Xinjiang 834000,China
    4 School of Petroleum Engineering,China University of petroleum,Qingdao Shandong 266580,China
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小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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