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Risk evolution analysis of eVTOL operation in UAM ecosystem based on complex networks
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Leping YUAN, Zekun GU, Dongqi LI
China Safety Science Journal | 2024, 34(3) : 192 - 199
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China Safety Science Journal | 2024, 34(3): 192-199
Public safety
Risk evolution analysis of eVTOL operation in UAM ecosystem based on complex networks
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Leping YUAN, Zekun GU, Dongqi LI
Affiliations
  • College of Safety Science and Engineering,Civil Aviation University of China,Tianjin 300300,China
Published: 2024-03-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2024.03.0266
Outline
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In order to clarify the correlation of eVTOL risk factors,and explore their impact on risk prevention and control in the UAM ecosystem,complex network theory was used to establish a risk evolution model. Based on the UAV accident database at home and abroad and the statistics of general aviation accidents,combined with the operation characteristics of eVTOL in urban low-altitude scenes,35 types of risk factors and 10 types of dangerous events were identified from the perspective of human-machine-environment. Gephi software was used to construct the network model,and the key nodes were evaluated comprehensively by the node degree,proximity centrality,internode centrality and PageRank(PR) algorithm. The key edges were evaluated by the internode number,so as to determine the key risk propagation path. In order to reduce the system risk,the measures to reduce the chain breaking disaster were proposed,and the system safety after chain breaking control was measured by network efficiency index. The results show that there are strong correlations among the eVTOL risk factors in the UAM ecosystem,and there are eight key risk transmission chains. The system safety is improved by 4.74%,16.21% and 18.10% by blocking key human factors,key system technical failure factors and key intermediate dangerous events,respectively.

complex network  /  urban air mobility (UAM)  /  electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL)  /  operational risk  /  broken chain control
Leping YUAN, Zekun GU, Dongqi LI. Risk evolution analysis of eVTOL operation in UAM ecosystem based on complex networks[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2024 , 34 (3) : 192 -199 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2024.03.0266
Year 2024 volume 34 Issue 3
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Article Info
doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2024.03.0266
  • Receive Date:2023-09-22
  • Online Date:2025-07-09
  • Published:2024-03-28
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  • Received:2023-09-22
  • Revised:2023-12-27
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    College of Safety Science and Engineering,Civil Aviation University of China,Tianjin 300300,China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
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占总种数比例
Percentage of
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种数
Number of
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Percentage of total
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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