To reduce the safety risk of fireworks production enterprises and eliminate the subjectivity and static limitations of the current safety evaluation mechanism,an evaluation indicator system of the safety risk for firework production enterprise was constructed based on the grounded theory (GT). The evaluation values and weights of the evaluation indicators were calculated by applying the frequency-based Analytic Network Process-Back Propagation Neuron Network (ANP-BPNN) model. The dynamic evaluation of the safety risk level of firework production enterprise was achieved based on SD,and verified with an enterprise involved in a major fireworks explosion accident of fireworks. The results show that the dynamic evaluation model of safety risk for fireworks production enterprises can accurately capture the development trend of the safety risk. The interval between safety risk evaluations of fireworks production enterprises is flexibly adjusted based on predicted time for safety risk level to reach the higher risk. The continuous dynamic evaluation of safety risk can ensure that the enterprise always maintains a safe production state.
| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |