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System dynamics analysis of online public opinion governance for chemical emergencies under evolutionary games
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Xiaoqing WANG1, 2, 3, Kebing CHEN1, **, Chengjiang QIAN3, 4, Jian SONG5
China Safety Science Journal | 2025, 35(2) : 95 - 103
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China Safety Science Journal | 2025, 35(2): 95-103
Safety engineering technology
System dynamics analysis of online public opinion governance for chemical emergencies under evolutionary games
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Xiaoqing WANG1, 2, 3, Kebing CHEN1, **, Chengjiang QIAN3, 4, Jian SONG5
Affiliations
  • 1 College of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing Jiangsu 211106,China
  • 2 College of Public Administration,Nanjing University of Finance & Economics,Nanjing Jiangsu 210023,China
  • 3 Department of Business Administration,Nanjing University of Finance & Economics Hongshan College,Nanjing Jiangsu 211300,China
  • 4 Nanjing NJTech Emergency Technology Co.,Ltd.,,Nanjing Jiangsu 210032,China
  • 5 Suqian Sucheng District Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau,Suqian Jiangsu 223800,China
Published: 2025-02-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.02.2066
Outline
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In order to strengthen the governance of online public opinion of chemical emergencies and properly handle the online public opinion crisis caused by chemical emergencies,evolutionary game theory was introduced into the process of network public opinion governance,and a binary evolutionary game model was constructed for local government and network media. Combined with the SD model,a quantitative analysis model was constructed for local governments and online media. Simulation research was conducted based on relevant cases,and the strategic evolution process of each game subject was compared and analyzed. The results indicate that the popularity of online public opinion on chemical emergencies depends on the strategic choices of each party,and the evolutionary game model analysis shows a periodic and recurrent trend. After introducing a punishment mechanism,appropriately increasing the severity of punishment can bring the evolutionary game system into a benign state. Local governments can enhance the emergency warning mechanism for online public opinion,strengthen daily supervision and collaborative governance of online media,and formulate reasonable punishment measures to effectively prevent local governments from inaction and disorderly behavior in the process of responding to chemical emergencies and online public opinion. This can achieve supervision of online media and avoid the vicious evolution of online public opinion.

evolutionary game  /  chemical emergencies  /  network public opinion governance  /  system dynamics (SD)  /  local government  /  online media
Xiaoqing WANG, Kebing CHEN, Chengjiang QIAN, Jian SONG. System dynamics analysis of online public opinion governance for chemical emergencies under evolutionary games[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2025 , 35 (2) : 95 -103 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.02.2066
Year 2025 volume 35 Issue 2
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Article Info
doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.02.2066
  • Receive Date:2024-09-17
  • Online Date:2025-07-05
  • Published:2025-02-28
Article Data
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History
  • Received:2024-09-17
  • Revised:2024-11-24
Funding
Affiliations
    1 College of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing Jiangsu 211106,China
    2 College of Public Administration,Nanjing University of Finance & Economics,Nanjing Jiangsu 210023,China
    3 Department of Business Administration,Nanjing University of Finance & Economics Hongshan College,Nanjing Jiangsu 211300,China
    4 Nanjing NJTech Emergency Technology Co.,Ltd.,,Nanjing Jiangsu 210032,China
    5 Suqian Sucheng District Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau,Suqian Jiangsu 223800,China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
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占总种数比例
Percentage of
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种数
Number of
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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