To quantify the transportation risks associated with biological samples using UAVs, this study first identified 32 risk factors across five dimensions-human, machine, environment, management, and hazard-based on national standards and relevant literature. A BN for risk assessment was constructed using Netica software, with prior probabilities determined through expert knowledge and fuzzy set quantitative analysis. The proposed risk assessment model was then used for bidirectional reasoning and scenario analysis. A case study of a UAV company in Shenzhen was presented to evaluate the transportation risks of biological samples and identify key influencing factors. The results indicate that the risk probability of biological sample transportation, as calculated through forward reasoning, is approximately 2.203×10-5. The primary risk factors are related to hazardous materials, followed by equipment and facility-related issues. The core risk factors influencing biological sample transportation include the size, quantity and weight of hazardous material packages, the temperature control effectiveness of specialized cold chain logistics boxes, the integrity of emergency response plans, emergency handling capabilities, safety management and education, and the presence of obstacles.
| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |