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Seismic fragility and importance analysis of communication base station systems based on a T-S fault tree
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Wei Wang1, Yue Wang2, Benwei Hou2, Chenhong Xia1, Xiaodong Guo1, **
China Safety Science Journal | 2026, 36(5) : 287 - 295
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China Safety Science Journal | 2026, 36(5): 287-295
Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Technology and Engineering
Seismic fragility and importance analysis of communication base station systems based on a T-S fault tree
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Wei Wang1, Yue Wang2, Benwei Hou2, Chenhong Xia1, Xiaodong Guo1, **
Affiliations
  • 1 College of Architecture and Urban Planning, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
  • 2 College of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
Published: 2026-05-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.05.0510
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To solve the limitations of traditional fault trees in accurately capturing the complex correlations among components of communication base station systems, this study proposes a method for seismic fragility and importance analysis based on T-S fault tree. First, a three-subsystem architecture consisting of power supply, machine room, and transmission is constructed, and a T-S fault tree model for post-earthquake functional loss of communication base station systems is established. The functional correlations among components and subsystems are quantified using gate rule tables. Second, the seismic fragility models of communication base station system and the machine room subsystem are comparatively analyzed. Then, the seismic fragility of communication base station system is calculated using traditional fault trees and Monte Carlo simulation, and compared with the results from T-S fault tree. Finally, key impact factors are identified by combining the T-S critical importance analysis, and the weak links of the system are located through the sensitivity analysis of component fragility parameters. The results show that analyzing only the seismic fragility of the machine room subsystem underestimates the risk of system functional loss, and it is necessary to comprehensively analyze the seismic fragility of the communication base station system by integrating the three subsystems. The T-S fault tree method has advantages in describing the fuzzy logic relationships among components, and its results are more reliable than those from traditional fault tree. Cables under the slight damage state and machine room buildings under the severe damage state are the key impact factors. Substations, transmission lines, and machine room buildings have the most significant impact on the system function.

Takagi-Sugeno(T-S) fault tree  /  communication base station system  /  seismic fragility  /  importance analysis  /  T-S criticality importance measure
Wei Wang, Yue Wang, Benwei Hou, Chenhong Xia, Xiaodong Guo. Seismic fragility and importance analysis of communication base station systems based on a T-S fault tree[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2026 , 36 (5) : 287 -295 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.05.0510
Year 2026 volume 36 Issue 5
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Article Info
doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.05.0510
  • Receive Date:2026-01-15
  • Online Date:2026-06-29
  • Published:2026-05-28
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  • Received:2026-01-15
  • Revised:2026-03-21
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    1 College of Architecture and Urban Planning, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
    2 College of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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