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Resilience assessment of subway crowd stampede accidents based on SD and MEE model
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Qiquan WANG, Weixiang FENG, Songli YANG
China Safety Science Journal | 2025, 35(12) : 187 - 195
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China Safety Science Journal | 2025, 35(12): 187-195
Public safety
Resilience assessment of subway crowd stampede accidents based on SD and MEE model
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Qiquan WANG, Weixiang FENG, Songli YANG
Affiliations
  • School of Safety Engineering, China University of Labor Relations, Beijing 100048, China
Published: 2025-12-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.12.0798
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In order to further prevent subway crowd stampede accidents and improve the safety management of metro stations, a metro crowd stampede resilience concept was proposed based on resilience theory. Centered on absorption capacity, resistance capacity, recovery capacity, and adaptation capacity, the developmental stages of metro crowd stampede resilience were analyzed, and a resilience evaluation index system was constructed by identifying core influencing factors related to crowd density. By integrating SD with MEE model, a metro crowd stampede resilience evaluation model was developed. This model was then applied to analyze the Beijing Xizhimen Metro Station. Results show that the model overcomes the limitation of traditional static evaluation models in depicting the dynamic evolution of the metro system's resilience capacity over time, enabling a quantitative assessment of dynamic resilience changes. The overall resilience level of Xizhimen Station is Grade II (relatively high resilience). However, due to delays in real-time monitoring and insufficient emergency response, it drops to Grade III (moderate resilience) during morning peak hours, with adaptability constrained by the low coverage rate of intelligent systems.

system dynamics (SD)  /  matter-element extension (MEE) model  /  subway crowd stampede accidents  /  resilience assessment  /  crowd density
Qiquan WANG, Weixiang FENG, Songli YANG. Resilience assessment of subway crowd stampede accidents based on SD and MEE model[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2025 , 35 (12) : 187 -195 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.12.0798
Year 2025 volume 35 Issue 12
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doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.12.0798
  • Receive Date:2025-08-08
  • Online Date:2026-07-09
  • Published:2025-12-28
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  • Received:2025-08-08
  • Revised:2025-10-10
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    School of Safety Engineering, China University of Labor Relations, Beijing 100048, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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