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Research on collision risk of parallel air routes under autonomous aircraft operation
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Honghai ZHANG1, Sijia TANG1, Junqiang WAN**, 2
China Safety Science Journal | 2025, 35(8) : 70 - 83
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China Safety Science Journal | 2025, 35(8): 70-83
Safety engineering technology
Research on collision risk of parallel air routes under autonomous aircraft operation
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Honghai ZHANG1, Sijia TANG1, Junqiang WAN**, 2
Affiliations
  • 1College of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing Jiangsu 211106, China
  • 2College of Air Traffic Management, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China
Published: 2025-08-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.08.0813
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In the scenario of air-ground collaborative autonomous operations, the collision risk of aircraft was assessed to ensure operational safety. The collision risk of parallel routes under autonomous flight was studied based on human factors and the performance of CNS systems. Firstly, an in-depth analysis of the characteristics of autonomous operation scenarios was performed. The Cognitive Reliability and Error Analysis Method (CREAM) model was improved by incorporating cognitive behavior and interactions between pilots and air traffic controllers to assess human reliability in autonomous operations. Subsequently, combined with the CNS performance and human factors, a collision risk model for autonomous operation aircraft was established. The lateral, longitudinal, vertical, and overall collision risks of the aircraft were evaluated separately. The feasibility of this method was validated through a parallel route example, and the impact patterns of human reliability and CNS performance on the collision risk of parallel routes were analyzed. The results indicate that the collision risk values in all three directions and the overall risk remain below the target safety level (5×10-9). Furthermore, it is demonstrated that improving human cognitive reliability and CNS performance contributes to reducing the spacing between parallel routes, thereby enhancing the safety of autonomous operations.

autonomous aircraft operation  /  parallel air routes  /  collision risk  /  communication, navigation, and surveillance (CNS) performance  /  human factors  /  risk assessment
Honghai ZHANG, Sijia TANG, Junqiang WAN. Research on collision risk of parallel air routes under autonomous aircraft operation[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2025 , 35 (8) : 70 -83 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.08.0813
Year 2025 volume 35 Issue 8
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Article Info
doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.08.0813
  • Receive Date:2025-03-15
  • Online Date:2026-07-09
  • Published:2025-08-28
Article Data
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  • Received:2025-03-15
  • Revised:2025-05-25
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Affiliations
    1College of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing Jiangsu 211106, China
    2College of Air Traffic Management, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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