To study the influence of similar scenario knowledge transfer on the subjective probability of safety accidents of engineers under avoidance behavior, the scenario similarity variable was introduced, and a subjective probability evolution model for safety accidents among engineering personnel groups was constructed and simulated. The results show that knowledge transfer in similar scenarios accelerates the convergence of the mean subjective probability, and reduces the subjective probability differences between individuals and scenarios, but also leads to the underestimation of accident rates in high-accident-rate scenarios. There is a "high-risk" accident scenario with the largest number of fatalities, where the accident rate ranges from 0.4 to 0.8. When there is a significant mortality rate difference between two scenarios, scenario knowledge transfer reduces losses only if the low-mortality-scenario has a higher accident rate than the high-mortality one. With close mortality rates but greatly varying accident rates, incomplete knowledge transfer may cause greater losses.
| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |