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Evaluation method for major accident hazards based on accident tree analysis
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Fanyu YUAN1, Qin MI**, 2, Jie CHEN3, Kangming XIAO4
China Safety Science Journal | 2025, 35(6) : 37 - 41
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China Safety Science Journal | 2025, 35(6): 37-41
Safety social science and safety management
Evaluation method for major accident hazards based on accident tree analysis
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Fanyu YUAN1, Qin MI**, 2, Jie CHEN3, Kangming XIAO4
Affiliations
  • 1Sichuan Anxin Technology Co., Ltd., Chengdu Sichuan 610046, China
  • 2Sichuan Anke Technology Consulting Co., Ltd., Chengdu Sichuan 610046, China
  • 3China Rong Tong Medical and Healthcare Group Co., Ltd., Chengdu Sichuan 610218, China
  • 4Shanghai Research Institute of Chemical Industry Co., Ltd., Shanghai 200062, China
Published: 2025-06-28 doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.06.1414
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In order to enhance the precision of the criteria for identifying major accident hazards, an evaluation method for major accident hazards based on ATA was proposed. This method systematically applied evaluation tools such as the risk matrix and accident tree analysis to determine high-risk and above accidents through accident risk classification and used as the top event for ATA. The accident tree was simplified using Boolean algebra rules to obtain the ranking of the structural importance of each basic event that could induce the accident. According to the "80/20 Rule", the top 20% of basic events with the highest structural importance were identified to determine the core events that could lead to the accident, which were then regarded as major accident hazards for precise control. A case study on high-rise building fires was conducted for validation. The results demonstrate that the failure of the automatic fire alarm system has the highest structural importance in the fire accident tree of high-rise buildings through ATA. It should be judged as a major fire hazard clause of high-rise buildings. Therefore, the evaluation method for major accident hazards based on accident tree analysis can effectively determine the criteria for identifying major accident hazards.

accident tree analysis(ATA)  /  major accident hazards  /  evaluation method  /  accident risk classification  /  high-rise building fires
Fanyu YUAN, Qin MI, Jie CHEN, Kangming XIAO. Evaluation method for major accident hazards based on accident tree analysis[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2025 , 35 (6) : 37 -41 . DOI: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.06.1414
Year 2025 volume 35 Issue 6
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doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.06.1414
  • Receive Date:2025-02-16
  • Online Date:2026-07-08
  • Published:2025-06-28
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History
  • Received:2025-02-16
  • Revised:2025-04-17
Affiliations
    1Sichuan Anxin Technology Co., Ltd., Chengdu Sichuan 610046, China
    2Sichuan Anke Technology Consulting Co., Ltd., Chengdu Sichuan 610046, China
    3China Rong Tong Medical and Healthcare Group Co., Ltd., Chengdu Sichuan 610218, China
    4Shanghai Research Institute of Chemical Industry Co., Ltd., Shanghai 200062, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

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Number of
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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