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Predicting trajectories of key individuals plays an important role in preventing potential criminal activities, optimizing emergency response, and intelligence analysis. Application of this technology by public security departments helps maintain social stability, improve urban management efficiency, and improve economic development. However, existing techniques face challenges in adapting to dynamic environments, neglecting the scope of social influence, and influence quantification of neighborhood moving objects. A novel model for predicting long-term trajectory areas of key individuals based on destination-intention learning by integrating spatio-temporal queries, is proposed. Firstly, aiming to solve the problem of capturing the spatio-temporal features of moving object trajectories, a key individuals trajectory prediction model called Spatio-Temporal Multiple Attention (STMA) is introduced. It can enhance the model sensitivity to the change of behavioral features by capturing temporal dependencies and spatial interactions through temporal and spatial attention modules, respectively. Secondly, in order to cope with the problem of quantifying the social influence, a social force function is constructed to simulate the social influence of pedestrians. The virtual contour construction method and the social force function can accurately simulate dynamic behaviors and improve the efficiency of influence capture. Experiments based on real-world traffic datasets show that, compared to the state-of-the-art trajectory prediction algorithms, STMA demonstrates higher accuracy and reliability in long-term and short-term trajectory prediction. In terms of long-term forecasting, the STMA model achieves an average accuracy rate of 54.3%, outperforming Sophie by 29.3%, Social Spatio Temporal Graph Convolutional Neural Network (S-STGCNN) by 13.4%, Conditional Generative Neural System (CGNS) by 36.8%.
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| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |
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