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An analysis method for the uncertainty of heat flux estimation
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Yu ZHOU, Yuanpei SHAO, Weiqi QIAN, Fengqi ZHENG*
Journal of Experiments in Fluid Mechanics | 2026, 40(1) : 127 - 134
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Journal of Experiments in Fluid Mechanics | 2026, 40(1): 127-134
• Fundamental Research and Application •
An analysis method for the uncertainty of heat flux estimation
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Yu ZHOU, Yuanpei SHAO, Weiqi QIAN, Fengqi ZHENG*
Affiliations
  • Computational Aerodynamics Institute of China Aerodynamics Research and Development Center, Mianyang 621000, China
Published: 2026-02-25 doi: 10.11729/syltlx20230148
Outline
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Identifying the surface aerodynamic heat flux using the time-series temperature data collected from internal measurement points of the thermal protection system is a crucial method for acquiring the surface thermal environment of high-speed aircraft. Analyzing and quantifying the uncertainty of identification results can provide a quantitative criterion for the validity of test data and support the safety assessment of “ extreme thermal service conditions" in thermal environments. Surface heat flux identification is a typical ill-posed problem, and measurement noise can lead to explosion in high frequency, so regularization is needed to obtain stable solution. Regularization reduces the uncertainty of estimation results, but it also brings obstacles to uncertainty quantification analysis. Therefore, regularization is regarded as a low-pass filter, and the identification results are transformed into the frequency domain to analyze the uncertainty of identification results. Finally, the uncertainty sources of typical aerospace surface heat flux sensor are analyzed. The effectiveness of uncertainty quantification is verified by Monte Carlo method.

surface heat flux  /  identification  /  ill-posed  /  regularization  /  uncertainty  /  low pass filter
周宇, 邵元培, 钱炜祺, 郑凤麒. 一种表面热流辨识结果的不确定度分析方法. 实验流体力学, 2026 , 40 (1) : 127 -134 . DOI: 10.11729/syltlx20230148
Yu ZHOU, Yuanpei SHAO, Weiqi QIAN, Fengqi ZHENG. An analysis method for the uncertainty of heat flux estimation[J]. Journal of Experiments in Fluid Mechanics, 2026 , 40 (1) : 127 -134 . DOI: 10.11729/syltlx20230148
Year 2026 volume 40 Issue 1
78
31
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doi: 10.11729/syltlx20230148
  • Receive Date:2023-11-01
  • Online Date:2026-10-22
  • Published:2026-02-25
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  • Received:2023-11-01
  • Revised:2024-01-19
  • Accepted:2024-01-26
Affiliations
    Computational Aerodynamics Institute of China Aerodynamics Research and Development Center, Mianyang 621000, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
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属
Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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