Prediction of the vibration trend of hydropower units is an important measure to ensure the normal operation of the unit. However, due to the complexity and non-stationarity of the vibration signal of the unit, accurate prediction becomes a difficult problem. To this end, this paper proposes a combined trend prediction model based on adaptive variational modal decomposition and temporal convolutional network (TCN). Firstly, the Whale Swarm Algorithm (WOA) was used to optimize the parameters of Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) to avoid the drawbacks of blindly selecting parameters, and to achieve adaptive decomposition of vibration signals. And then each decomposed component signal was normalized to establish TCN for trend prediction. Finally the original vibration signal prediction was obtained by superimposing the results. The proposed model was demonstrated and tested with the actual operation data of a domestic power station. The results show that the proposed model has high prediction accuracy and can be used in engineering practice.
| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |