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Inspection and Evaluation of CMA-WSP Ground Radiation Forecast Products
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Yan ZHU1, Ming WANG1, 2, Pei-hua XU1, Dan MENG1, Zheng-hong CHEN1
Water Resources and Power | 2023, 41(12) : 225 - 228
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Water Resources and Power | 2023, 41(12): 225-228
ENERGY
Inspection and Evaluation of CMA-WSP Ground Radiation Forecast Products
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Yan ZHU1, Ming WANG1, 2, Pei-hua XU1, Dan MENG1, Zheng-hong CHEN1
Affiliations
  • 1.Hubei Meteorological Service Center, Wuhan 430205, China
  • 2.Hubei Key Laboratory for Heavy Rain Monitoring and Warning Research, Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration, Wuhan 430205, China
Published: 2023-12-25 doi: 10.20040/j.cnki.1000-7709.2023.20230170
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Based on the ground radiation observation data of Hubei Huashi photovoltaic power station from April to September in 2022, the forecast accuracy of the ground radiation products of Wind Energy and Solar Energy Forecasting System of China Meteorological Administration (CMA-WSP) was evaluated. Overall, the correlation coefficient between ground solar radiation and observation in the next 5 days predicted by CMA-WSP is between 0.85 and 0.91, and the forecast effect on the first day is the best. With the increase of forecast time, the forecast accuracy gradually decreases. From the perspective of month-by-month effect, the CMA-WSP has the best effect on ground radiation forecasting in August and September, and the forecast accuracy rate in May and June is relatively low. In terms of daily changes, the CMAWSP has a relatively poor forecasting effect on ground radiation at 10:00~16:00, and is better in other periods. The prediction of ground radiation by CMA-WSP has strong seasonality. The forecast results of different times in spring are quite different, and are relatively stable in summer. The forecast effect in autumn is the most stable, and the correlation coefficient between the prediction results and observation can reach 0.92. In general, the CMA-WSP has a good effect on the ground radiation forecasting in Hubei Province, which can provide good support for the short-term forecasting of photovoltaic resources in Hubei Province.

CMA-WSP  /  photovoltaic power plant  /  ground solar radiation  /  forecast inspection
Yan ZHU, Ming WANG, Pei-hua XU, Dan MENG, Zheng-hong CHEN. Inspection and Evaluation of CMA-WSP Ground Radiation Forecast Products[J]. Water Resources and Power, 2023 , 41 (12) : 225 -228 . DOI: 10.20040/j.cnki.1000-7709.2023.20230170
Year 2023 volume 41 Issue 12
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Article Info
doi: 10.20040/j.cnki.1000-7709.2023.20230170
  • Receive Date:2023-02-10
  • Online Date:2026-01-28
  • Published:2023-12-25
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  • Received:2023-02-10
  • Revised:2023-03-15
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Affiliations
    1.Hubei Meteorological Service Center, Wuhan 430205, China
    2.Hubei Key Laboratory for Heavy Rain Monitoring and Warning Research, Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration, Wuhan 430205, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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