To study the diversion risk of pumped storage power station construction under extreme rainfall, based on the idea of system risk analysis, the Copula-Monte Carlo method for diversion risk prediction was proposed by considering the correlation between upper and lower reservoir inflow. Joint distribution of the upper reservoir extreme rainfall and the lower reservoir flood volume was constructed to simulate the construction flood process caused by extreme rainfall. According to the characteristics of the upper and lower reservoirs diversion engineering, the risk model of the diversion system in the pumped storage power station was established to simulate the risk rate by considering hydrological and hydraulic uncertainty. Finally, a pumped storage power station under construction in southwest China was taken as an example, the results show Gumbel-Copula joint distribution fits the construction flood well in extreme rainfall cases, the diversion system risk rate is higher and more realistic when considering the correlation. It provides a reference for pumped storage power station construction diversion scheme selection and flood standard design under extreme rainfall.
| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |