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Prediction of Climate Change Trend in Six River Basins in Yunnan Province Based on CMIP6 Models
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Zhi-tian LIU, Xian-qun HU, Yan-xia ZHU, Cao-jing YANG, Xiao-tan ZHANG, Feng ZHOU, Chao GAO
Water Resources and Power | 2023, 41(8) : 10 - 14
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Water Resources and Power | 2023, 41(8): 10-14
HYDROLOGY, WATER RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT
Prediction of Climate Change Trend in Six River Basins in Yunnan Province Based on CMIP6 Models
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Zhi-tian LIU, Xian-qun HU, Yan-xia ZHU, Cao-jing YANG, Xiao-tan ZHANG, Feng ZHOU, Chao GAO
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  • PowerChina Kunming Engineering Corporation Limited, Kunming 650051, China
Published: 2023-08-25 doi: 10.20040/j.cnki.1000-7709.2023.20222236
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Based on the monthly data of precipitation and average temperature from 36 reference meteorological stations in the six basins in Yunnan Province, 11 climate models published by CMIP6 were used to simulate and predict the change process of meteorological elements in six basins. Three model integration technologies were used to improve the simulation ability and evaluate the suitability of each model and integration method. The optimal method was chosen to predict the possible trend of climate change in six basins under the scenario of SSP2-4.5 in the future. The results showed that precipitation and temperature would increase gradually in the near, middle and long term in the six basins of Yunnan Province. Precipitation might increase significantly after 2060, and temperature might increase significantly after 2050.

six river basins in Yunnan Province  /  CMIP6 models  /  climate change  /  trend prediction
Zhi-tian LIU, Xian-qun HU, Yan-xia ZHU, Cao-jing YANG, Xiao-tan ZHANG, Feng ZHOU, Chao GAO. Prediction of Climate Change Trend in Six River Basins in Yunnan Province Based on CMIP6 Models[J]. Water Resources and Power, 2023 , 41 (8) : 10 -14 . DOI: 10.20040/j.cnki.1000-7709.2023.20222236
Year 2023 volume 41 Issue 8
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doi: 10.20040/j.cnki.1000-7709.2023.20222236
  • Receive Date:2022-10-25
  • Online Date:2026-01-28
  • Published:2023-08-25
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  • Received:2022-10-25
  • Revised:2022-11-05
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    PowerChina Kunming Engineering Corporation Limited, Kunming 650051, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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