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Medium-and Long-term Load Combination Forecasting Method Based on Social Learning Multi-objective Particle Swarm Optimization
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Hai-yang PENG1, 2, Ying-min ZHANG1
Water Resources and Power | 2023, 41(4) : 216 - 220
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Water Resources and Power | 2023, 41(4): 216-220
ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING
Medium-and Long-term Load Combination Forecasting Method Based on Social Learning Multi-objective Particle Swarm Optimization
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Hai-yang PENG1, 2, Ying-min ZHANG1
Affiliations
  • 1.School of Electrical Engineering, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China
  • 2.Peng’an County Power Supply Branch, State Grid Sichuan Electric Power Company, Nanchong 637800, China
Published: 2023-04-25 doi: 10.20040/j.cnki.1000-7709.2023.20220741
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Accurate load forecasting is of great significance for improving the level of grid planning and accurately guiding investment. In view of the shortcoming of over-fitting in the combined forecasting model of empirical risk minimization, a combined forecasting model based on social learning multi-objective particle swarm optimization algorithm was proposed in term of partial least squares regression model, support vector regression model and grey prediction GM (1, 1) model. The uncertainty function information entropy of weight was introduced to represent the expected risk, and the empirical risk and expected risk were comprehensively considered in the model. The simulation results show that the proposed method has higher prediction accuracy than the single forecasting model and the other two combined forecasting models, and the social learning multi-objective particle swarm optimization algorithm has stronger global search ability and optimization performance.

combined forecasting  /  social learning multi-objective particle swarm optimization  /  partial least squares regression  /  support vector regression  /  GM(1,1)  /  entropy
Hai-yang PENG, Ying-min ZHANG. Medium-and Long-term Load Combination Forecasting Method Based on Social Learning Multi-objective Particle Swarm Optimization[J]. Water Resources and Power, 2023 , 41 (4) : 216 -220 . DOI: 10.20040/j.cnki.1000-7709.2023.20220741
Year 2023 volume 41 Issue 4
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Article Info
doi: 10.20040/j.cnki.1000-7709.2023.20220741
  • Receive Date:2022-04-13
  • Online Date:2026-01-27
  • Published:2023-04-25
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  • Received:2022-04-13
  • Revised:2022-06-28
Affiliations
    1.School of Electrical Engineering, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China
    2.Peng’an County Power Supply Branch, State Grid Sichuan Electric Power Company, Nanchong 637800, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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