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Study on Time Series Prediction of Slope Deformation in Reservoir Area Based on SSA-BP Neural Network
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Yi-min WU, Cheng-liang ZHANG, Huan-xiong ZHANG
Water Resources and Power | 2026, 44(1) : 177 - 181
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Water Resources and Power | 2026, 44(1): 177-181
Study on Time Series Prediction of Slope Deformation in Reservoir Area Based on SSA-BP Neural Network
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Yi-min WU, Cheng-liang ZHANG, Huan-xiong ZHANG
Affiliations
  • Faculty of Land Resources Engineering, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650093, China
Published: 2026-01-25 doi: 10.20040/j.cnki.1000-7709.2026.20250085
Outline
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An improved hybrid prediction model SSA-BP based on intelligent optimization algorithms was developed to address the complex nonlinearities and uncertainties inherent in slope displacement prediction in reservoir areas. This methodology effectively overcomes the limitations of the traditional BP networks, such as slow training speed and susceptibility to local optimum so as to improve the accuracy and robustness of slope displacement prediction. Through the global optimization of initial weights and thresholds using the Sparrow Search Algorithm (SSA), convergence and adaptability of the model was improved. The proposed model was trained using five-month real-time displacement monitoring data obtained from the Zhangjiawan slope. A comparative performance analysis was conducted between the SSA-BP model and BP networks optimized by genetic algorithm (GA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO). The results demonstrate that the SSA-BP model achieves rapid convergence within 24 iterations, significantly outperforming the comparative models. Evaluation metrics including root mean square error, mean absolute percentage error , and coefficient of determination (R2) reveal superior performance of the SSA-BP model. This research presents a reliable and efficient intelligent approach for accurate and robust slope displacement prediction in reservoir area.

slopes in the reservoir area  /  displacement deformation prediction  /  sparrow search algorithm (SSA)  /  BP network model optimization
武益民, 张成良, 张焕雄. 基于SSA-BP神经网络的库区边坡变形时序预测研究. 水电能源科学, 2026 , 44 (1) : 177 -181 . DOI: 10.20040/j.cnki.1000-7709.2026.20250085
Yi-min WU, Cheng-liang ZHANG, Huan-xiong ZHANG. Study on Time Series Prediction of Slope Deformation in Reservoir Area Based on SSA-BP Neural Network[J]. Water Resources and Power, 2026 , 44 (1) : 177 -181 . DOI: 10.20040/j.cnki.1000-7709.2026.20250085
Year 2026 volume 44 Issue 1
83
8
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Article Info
doi: 10.20040/j.cnki.1000-7709.2026.20250085
  • Receive Date:2025-01-11
  • Online Date:2026-09-28
  • Published:2026-01-25
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  • Received:2025-01-11
  • Revised:2025-03-16
  • Accepted:2025-03-25
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    Faculty of Land Resources Engineering, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650093, China
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红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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