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Risk Management in Automotive Harness Development Based on Fault Tree Analysis and Bayesian Networks
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Wanting Zhang1, 2
Automotive Digest | 2026, (2) : 42 - 51
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Automotive Digest | 2026, (2): 42-51
• Special Topic on Autonomous Driving Technology •
Risk Management in Automotive Harness Development Based on Fault Tree Analysis and Bayesian Networks
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Wanting Zhang1, 2
Affiliations
  • 1.Commercial Vehicle Technology Center, Shanghai Automobile Group Company Limited, Shanghai 200438
  • 2.School of Electronic Information and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030
Published: 2026-02-05 doi: 10.19822/j.cnki.1671-6329.20250027
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This paper aims to enhance the effectiveness of risk management in the entire vehicle development process. Based on a Sino-foreign cooperative entire vehicle research and development project, the study analyzes the characteristics of the low-voltage harness in vehicles, identifies and categorizes risk factors, and utilizes fault tree analysis to model the causal relationships of various risks. These relationships are then mapped into a Bayesian Network (BN). By employing the fuzzy set theory, collected expert opinions are transformed into prior and conditional probabilities of node events, establishing a risk assessment model for vehicle low-voltage harness development based on fault tree-Bayesian network. This model quantifies the probability and impact of risk factors. For key and sensitive risk factors, corresponding risk response strategies are proposed, providing effective risk management for harness development.

Automotive wiring harness  /  Risk management  /  Fault Tree Analysis (FTA)  /  Bayesian Network (BN)
张婉婷. 基于故障树与贝叶斯网络的汽车线束开发风险管理. 汽车文摘, 2026 , (2) : 42 -51 . DOI: 10.19822/j.cnki.1671-6329.20250027
Wanting Zhang. Risk Management in Automotive Harness Development Based on Fault Tree Analysis and Bayesian Networks[J]. Automotive Digest, 2026 , (2) : 42 -51 . DOI: 10.19822/j.cnki.1671-6329.20250027
Year 2026 volume Issue 2
163
29
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doi: 10.19822/j.cnki.1671-6329.20250027
  • Online Date:2026-09-23
  • Published:2026-02-05
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Affiliations
    1.Commercial Vehicle Technology Center, Shanghai Automobile Group Company Limited, Shanghai 200438
    2.School of Electronic Information and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)
属
Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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