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Research on Multivariable Prediction Model of Passenger Car Sales
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Haojiang Duan, Bing Wu
Automotive Digest | 2023, (12) : 55 - 62
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Automotive Digest | 2023, (12): 55-62
Special Topic on Selected Papers from China Automotive Technology and Research Center (CATARC)
Research on Multivariable Prediction Model of Passenger Car Sales
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Haojiang Duan, Bing Wu
Affiliations
  • School of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai 201800
Published: 2023-12-05 doi: 10.19822/j.cnki.1671-6329.20220312
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In the environment that the passenger car industry is becoming increasingly prosperous, it is crucial for each automobile enterprise to accurately grasp the development direction of the industry and formulate suitable production goals. In this paper, historical sales, macroeconomic indicators and online search keyword data are selected as variables to establish a variety of sales prediction models for the overall passenger car market in order to improve the prediction accuracy of passenger car sales. Through comparative analysis, the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GDBT) algorithm model considering the above 3 variables has the best effect and its Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) is 10.35%. The model obtained in this paper can help automobile enterprises understand the development of market trends, make targeted production planning and provide a new reference model for the research of sales forecast.

Passenger car market  /  Sales forecast  /  Online search  /  GBDT
Haojiang Duan, Bing Wu. Research on Multivariable Prediction Model of Passenger Car Sales[J]. Automotive Digest, 2023 , (12) : 55 -62 . DOI: 10.19822/j.cnki.1671-6329.20220312
Year 2023 volume Issue 12
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doi: 10.19822/j.cnki.1671-6329.20220312
  • Online Date:2026-01-04
  • Published:2023-12-05
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    School of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai 201800
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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