In the environment that the passenger car industry is becoming increasingly prosperous, it is crucial for each automobile enterprise to accurately grasp the development direction of the industry and formulate suitable production goals. In this paper, historical sales, macroeconomic indicators and online search keyword data are selected as variables to establish a variety of sales prediction models for the overall passenger car market in order to improve the prediction accuracy of passenger car sales. Through comparative analysis, the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GDBT) algorithm model considering the above 3 variables has the best effect and its Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) is 10.35%. The model obtained in this paper can help automobile enterprises understand the development of market trends, make targeted production planning and provide a new reference model for the research of sales forecast.
| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |