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Economic Sensitivity Analysis of Hydrogen Energy Vehicles Based on User Operating Conditions
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Jingang Zhao, Fenggang Guo, Songtao Li
Automotive Digest | 2025, (7) : 57 - 62
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Automotive Digest | 2025, (7): 57-62
Special Topic on State of Health (SOH)/State of Charge (SOC) Estimation and Collaborative Management Technology for Power Batteries
Economic Sensitivity Analysis of Hydrogen Energy Vehicles Based on User Operating Conditions
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Jingang Zhao, Fenggang Guo, Songtao Li
Affiliations
  • Beiqi Foton Motor Co., Ltd., Beijing 100085
Published: 2025-07-05 doi: 10.19822/j.cnki.1671-6329.20240037
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To investigate the economic feasibility of hydrogen-powered heavy-duty trucks in both subsidized and non-subsidized markets, a hydrogen vehicle performance simulation model and a Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) model are established. Through comparative analysis of different powertrain configurations meeting dynamic performance requirements under user-specific operating conditions, as well as sensitivity studies on hydrogen pricing and energy consumption per 100 km, several critical findings are obtained as following. Powertrain configuration significantly impacts total vehicle cost, with higher fuel cell system power leading to increased overall costs. Hydrogen-powered heavy trucks require scenario-specific adaptations in both market types. While profitability is achievable in subsidized markets, the margin remains narrow. In non-subsidized markets, economic viability requires hydrogen prices below 21 RMB/kg. The study reveals substantial sensitivity to hydrogen consumption, with profitability thresholds established at <12 kg/100 km in subsidized markets and <10 kg/100 km in non-subsidized environments. Notably, when consumption falls below 9 kg/100 km in subsidized markets, economic performance becomes comparable to conventional diesel trucks. These findings provide theoretical foundations and technical references for advancing hydrogen vehicle commercialization, offering valuable insights for industry development.

Hydrogen fuel cell vehicle  /  Vehicle model  /  Economy
Jingang Zhao, Fenggang Guo, Songtao Li. Economic Sensitivity Analysis of Hydrogen Energy Vehicles Based on User Operating Conditions[J]. Automotive Digest, 2025 , (7) : 57 -62 . DOI: 10.19822/j.cnki.1671-6329.20240037
Year 2025 volume Issue 7
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doi: 10.19822/j.cnki.1671-6329.20240037
  • Online Date:2025-10-29
  • Published:2025-07-05
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    Beiqi Foton Motor Co., Ltd., Beijing 100085
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
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Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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