收藏切换
Data-driven real-time prediction of cutting's transport index in directional wellbores
收藏切换
PDF
Mohammed Al-Shargabia, Shadfar Davoodia, b, *, David A. Woodc, **, Mohammad Mehrada, Mohammed Al-Rubaiid
Petroleum Research | 2026, 11(3) : 895 - 911
Less
收藏切换
Petroleum Research | 2026, 11(3): 895-911
• Full Length Article •
Data-driven real-time prediction of cutting's transport index in directional wellbores
Full
Mohammed Al-Shargabia, Shadfar Davoodia, b, *, David A. Woodc, **, Mohammad Mehrada, Mohammed Al-Rubaiid
Affiliations
  • aSchool of Earth Sciences & Engineering, Tomsk Polytechnic University, Lenin Avenue, Tomsk, Russia
  • bArtificial Intelligence Center, Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology, Bolshoy Boulevard 30, bld. 1, 121205, Moscow, Russia
  • cDWA Energy Limited, Lincoln, United Kingdom
  • dSaudi Aramco, Dhahran, Saudi Arabia
Published: 2026-09-10 doi: 10.1016/j.ptlrs.2025.11.010
Outline
收藏切换

The drilling of non-vertical wellbores requires effective real-time monitoring techniques to improve drilling efficiency. This study innovatively develops nine robust hybrid machine learning (HML) models to develop a real-time surrogate model for the drilling cuttings transport index (DCTI). The DCTI, a comprehensive indicator of hole-cleaning efficiency, is typically calculated with a 2-4 h delay due to its dependency on laboratory-measured fluid properties. Our hybrid ML models overcome this limitation by accurately emulating the DCTI value using only real-time, surface-recorded drilling data. A 6818-record dataset was collected from three oil and gas fields (Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia), comprising three offshore and two onshore wells. Following a meticulous dataset preprocessing, a nondominated sorting genetic algorithm (NSGA-II) was applied with a multi-layer perceptron neural network (MLPNN), identifying seven key features influencing DCTI - inclination angle (ANG), rate of penetration, flow in, depth, torque, stand-pipe pressure (SPP), and revolutions per minute. Extreme learning machine (ELM), MLPNN, and radial basis function neural networks (RBFNN) were hybridized with particle swarm optimization (PSO) and a growth optimizer in two stages: (1) to determine the optimal model structure, and (2) to fine-tune the model hyperparameters to precisely estimate DCTI based on the selected features. The HML models achieved better estimation performance and generalizability than the standalone models. Achieving the lowest root mean square error (RMSE = 0.00344), the RBFNN-PSO model exhibited the best DCTI estimation performance. Analytical scoring, robustness, and Monte Carlo simulation confirmed this model's superior performance, robustness, and high generalization. Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) feature influence analysis revealed that ANG exerted the most influence on the RBFNN-PSO estimations, while SPP had the least impact. During drilling operations, the proposed data-driven approach practically enables drilling crews to diagnose and monitor hole-cleaning performance in real time and improve the rate of penetration. Furthermore, SHAP analysis transforms the model into a prescriptive tool, identifying the primary real-time parameters affecting hole cleaning. This enables drillers to make targeted operational decisions, such as adjusting the rate of penetration or flow rate, to mitigate developing issues.

Drilling cutting's transport index  /  Hybrid machine learning  /  Radial basis function neural networks  /  Real-time monitoring  /  Deviated/horizontal hole cleaning  /  Two-stage optimization
Mohammed Al-Shargabi, Shadfar Davoodi, David A. Wood, Mohammad Mehrad, Mohammed Al-Rubaii. Data-driven real-time prediction of cutting's transport index in directional wellbores[J]. Petroleum Research, 2026 , 11 (3) : 895 -911 . DOI: 10.1016/j.ptlrs.2025.11.010
  • grant for research centers in the field of AI provided by the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation(000000C313925P4F0002; 139-10-2025-033)
Year 2026 volume 11 Issue 3
PDF
41
5
Cite this Article
BibTeX
Article Info
doi: 10.1016/j.ptlrs.2025.11.010
  • Receive Date:2025-04-19
  • Online Date:2026-10-14
  • Published:2026-09-10
Article Data
Affiliations
History
  • Received:2025-04-19
  • Revised:2025-11-24
  • Accepted:2025-11-25
Funding
grant for research centers in the field of AI provided by the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation(000000C313925P4F0002; 139-10-2025-033)
Affiliations
    aSchool of Earth Sciences & Engineering, Tomsk Polytechnic University, Lenin Avenue, Tomsk, Russia
    bArtificial Intelligence Center, Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology, Bolshoy Boulevard 30, bld. 1, 121205, Moscow, Russia
    cDWA Energy Limited, Lincoln, United Kingdom
    dSaudi Aramco, Dhahran, Saudi Arabia

Corresponding:

* School of Earth Sciences & Engineering, Tomsk Polytechnic University, Lenin Avenue, Tomsk, Russia. E-mail addresses: , (S. Davoodi)
** (D.A. Wood).
References
Share
https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/pr/EN/10.1016/j.ptlrs.2025.11.010
Share to
QR

Scan QR to access full text

Cite this article
BibTeX
Citations
表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)
属
Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
关闭全屏
  • BibTeX
  • EndNote
  • RefWorks
  • TxT