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Research on intelligent kick early warning technology based on LSTM-AE unsupervised learning
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Boyuan Lia, *, Zhaoxue Guoa, Xudong Wanga, Gui Tangb, Xing Zuob
Petroleum Research | 2026, 11(2) : 501 - 515
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Petroleum Research | 2026, 11(2): 501-515
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Research on intelligent kick early warning technology based on LSTM-AE unsupervised learning
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Boyuan Lia, *, Zhaoxue Guoa, Xudong Wanga, Gui Tangb, Xing Zuob
Affiliations
  • aPetroleum Engineering School, Southwest Petroleum University, Chengdu, 610500, Sichuan, China
  • bCNPC Chuanqing Drilling & Production Engineering Technology Research Institute, Sichuan, China
Published: 2026-06-10 doi: 10.1016/j.ptlrs.2025.10.002
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In oil and gas exploration, kick is a typical high-risk downhole incident. Currently, most intelligent kick detection methods belong to supervised learning, which depends on labeled samples and is prone to class imbalance issues in the training set, leading to reduced model accuracy and higher false alarm rates in practical applications. To address this, this paper focuses on the application of unsupervised learning in kick detection, proposing a kick detection method based on Long Short-Term Memory Autoencoder (LSTM-AE) combined with parameter trend change rules. The study integrates LSTM-AE with expert knowledge to develop an intelligent kick early warning system suitable for well sites, validated using field data from five wells. The results show that the average reconstruction mean squared error of the LSTM-AE is 0.017, with an average false alarm rate of 4.56% for kick detection, detecting kicks an average of 9.2 min earlier than manual detection. This outcome confirms that kick detection can utilize unsupervised learning methods, avoiding relying on labeled samples and class imbalance issues in the training set, thereby effectively improving model accuracy and generalization ability. Moreover, the proposed LSTM-AE demonstrates superior performance in kick detection, and the detection method combining the model and judgment rules has significant implications for monitoring and early warning of other types of downhole incidents.

Early kick warning  /  Drilling safety  /  Autoencoder  /  Machine learning  /  Downhole accident
Boyuan Li, Zhaoxue Guo, Xudong Wang, Gui Tang, Xing Zuo. Research on intelligent kick early warning technology based on LSTM-AE unsupervised learning[J]. Petroleum Research, 2026 , 11 (2) : 501 -515 . DOI: 10.1016/j.ptlrs.2025.10.002
Year 2026 volume 11 Issue 2
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doi: 10.1016/j.ptlrs.2025.10.002
  • Receive Date:2024-07-31
  • Online Date:2026-07-29
  • Published:2026-06-10
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  • Received:2024-07-31
  • Revised:2025-09-28
  • Accepted:2025-10-21
Affiliations
    aPetroleum Engineering School, Southwest Petroleum University, Chengdu, 610500, Sichuan, China
    bCNPC Chuanqing Drilling & Production Engineering Technology Research Institute, Sichuan, China

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E-mail address: (B. Li).
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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