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Application of random forest model optimized with genetic algorithm for determination of minimum miscibility pressure in CO2 flooding
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Siyi Zheng, Mengping Liu, Yuan Zhang*, Jinghong Hu
Petroleum Research | 2026, 11(3) : 838 - 847
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Petroleum Research | 2026, 11(3): 838-847
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Application of random forest model optimized with genetic algorithm for determination of minimum miscibility pressure in CO2 flooding
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Siyi Zheng, Mengping Liu, Yuan Zhang*, Jinghong Hu
Affiliations
  • School of Energy Resources, China University of Geoscience (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China
Published: 2026-09-10 doi: 10.1016/j.ptlrs.2026.01.015
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CO2 flooding is an efficient technique for enhancing oil recovery and carbon sequestration, where accurate estimation of the minimum miscibility pressure (MMP) is crucial. Conventional experiment and numerical simulations are time-cost and often inaccurate. Therefore, it is essential to develop an efficient and accurate model for MMP prediction. In this work, we introduced a genetic algorithm-optimized random forest (GA-RF) model using 260 samples with eight input features, including reservoir temperature (TR), molecular weight of C5+ pseudo-components (MWC5+), ratio of the mole percent of volatile to intermediate fractions (vol./int.), and mole fractions of injected gas (CO2, H2S, CH4, C2-C4, and N2). Four algorithms-random forest (RF), multilayer perceptron (MLP), support vector regression (SVR), and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) are compared. RF performs best and is further optimized by GA. The resulting GA-RF model outperforms traditional methods, with prediction accuracy of 0.99 and a root mean square error of 0.74. The model was applied to CO2-hydrocarbons system from different low-permeability reservoirs in China. Results show that the GA-RF model demonstrated an average relative error of 3.43%. These findings highlight that the GA-RF model has great potentials for predicting MMP during CO2 flooding and improving CO2 miscible flooding efficiency.

Random forest  /  Genetic algorithm  /  Minimum miscibility pressure  /  Sensitivity analysis  /  CO2-EOR
Siyi Zheng, Mengping Liu, Yuan Zhang, Jinghong Hu. Application of random forest model optimized with genetic algorithm for determination of minimum miscibility pressure in CO2 flooding[J]. Petroleum Research, 2026 , 11 (3) : 838 -847 . DOI: 10.1016/j.ptlrs.2026.01.015
  • National Natural Science Foundation of China(52474052)
  • Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program by BAST(BYESS2023414)
  • Scientific Research Innovation Capability Support Project for Young Faculty(ZYGXQNJ-SKYCXNLZCXM-E14)
Year 2026 volume 11 Issue 3
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Article Info
doi: 10.1016/j.ptlrs.2026.01.015
  • Receive Date:2025-09-01
  • Online Date:2026-10-14
  • Published:2026-09-10
Article Data
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History
  • Received:2025-09-01
  • Revised:2026-01-24
  • Accepted:2026-01-26
Funding
National Natural Science Foundation of China(52474052)
Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program by BAST(BYESS2023414)
Scientific Research Innovation Capability Support Project for Young Faculty(ZYGXQNJ-SKYCXNLZCXM-E14)
Affiliations
    School of Energy Resources, China University of Geoscience (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China

Corresponding:

* 29#, Xue-Yuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100083, China. E-mail address: (Y. Zhang).
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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