Waterflooding persists as the primary secondary oil recovery method, although its efficiency evaluation is often hindered by limitations from reservoir heterogeneities alongside non-uniform sweep efficiency and uncertainty in predicting well-to-well connectivity. To improve the evaluation of waterflooding, this research develops and validates nine advanced machine learning models, covering key types such as neural networks, linear models, tree-based models, ensemble learning, and support vector machines. This research utilized a dataset of 6592 observations collected across four wells over 2000 days to train and evaluate these machine learning models for fluid production rate forecasting and injector-producer connectivity assessments. The most successful model was AdaBoost since it delivered both a minimum root mean squared error (RMSE) of 0.004 and a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.99, surpassing traditional methods. Furthermore, SHapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) analysis provided interpretability by quantifying injection wells' relative influence on production rates, facilitating the construction of a connectivity-driven contour map. Traditional evaluation methods of empirical and analytical approaches, as well as capacitance-resistance models and numerical simulators, function under restrictive assumptions, extensive computational requirements, and significant data demands. This study is novel in uniting multiple ML algorithms with SHAP interpretability and a connectivity-driven contour map for injector-producer dynamics, providing a practical, real-time workflow for field-scale waterflood optimization. The results of this study demonstrate that ML models surpass traditional methods in terms of predictive accuracy, computer processing speed, and scalability when applied for real-time waterflood optimization. This study illustrates the transformative potential of ML in reservoir engineering by enabling data-driven decision-making and improving the injection optimization process.
| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |