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Temperature prediction models for meat duck breeding environment using CNN-BiLSTM-DQN
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Honglong LU1, Junjie YUAN1, Hulin LI1, Qi RONG1, Ben HUA1, Shijia YING2, Jizhang WANG1, *
Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering | 2026, 42(12) : 73 - 82
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Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering | 2026, 42(12): 73-82
Special Topics on Smart Animal-raising Technologies and Livestock Equipment(2): Smart Equipment and Environmental Engineering
Temperature prediction models for meat duck breeding environment using CNN-BiLSTM-DQN
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Honglong LU1, Junjie YUAN1, Hulin LI1, Qi RONG1, Ben HUA1, Shijia YING2, Jizhang WANG1, *
Affiliations
  • 1College of Agricultural Engineering, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, China
  • 2Institute of Animal Husbandry, Jiangsu Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Nanjing 210014, China
Published: 2026-06-30 doi: 10.11975/j.issn.1002-6819.202512200
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The meat duck industry in China has contributed over 82% of the total slaughter volume worldwide. Therefore, an optimal air temperature is often required for the comfort and survival of meat ducks during breeding. However, the air temperature is susceptible to multiple factors, such as relative humidity and illumination intensity. It is a high demand to timely and accurately predict air temperature for the high-density healthy breeding. However, conventional temperature prediction has been limited to low accuracy, robustness, and generalization. In this study, a hybrid 1DCNN-BiLSTM-DQN model was proposed to integrate with a one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1DCNN), a bidirectional long short-term memory network (BiLSTM), and a deep Q-network (DQN). Duck-house temperature was accurately predicted after model construction. The temperature time-series signal was also decomposed into high- and low-frequency components via the discrete Fourier transform (DFT). Given that the high-frequency component represented short-term fluctuations, the 1DCNN was used to extract local features from the high-frequency component; whereas the low-frequency component represented long-term fluctuations, the BiLSTM was used to extract long-sequence dependency features from the low-frequency component. Subsequently, the two sets of features were fused using a concatenation model. And finally, the temperature prediction value was obtained after the mapping of a fully connected layer. Furthermore, the DQN algorithm was introduced to construct an agent for iterative optimization of the hyperparameters. An adaptive mechanism was optimized with an 8-dimensional state space and a 12-dimensional action space, enabling dynamic optimization of key hyperparameters, such as the learning rate, number of hidden layers, dropout rate, and network architecture. Thereby, the prediction robustness of the model was improved under scenarios of seasonal transitions and extreme weather. The indoor and outdoor temperature data of net-raised duck houses were collected in Gaoyou City, Yangzhou City, Jiangsu Province, from March 22, 2025, to March 22, 2026. The results demonstrated that the 1DCNN-BiLSTM-DQN model achieved a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.993 with an optimal input step size of 48. The MAE and RMSE were superior to the conventional models, such as the Temporal Convolutional Network and Transformer. Specifically, the 1DCNN-BiLSTM-DQN model exhibited the following improvements under different weather conditions: On cloudy days, the MAE and RMSE decreased from 0.29 °C to 0.18 °C, and from 0.36 °C to 0.23 °C, whereas the R2 increased from 0.77 to 0.91; On sunny days, the MAE and RMSE decreased from 0.48 °C to 0.23 °C, and from 0.59 °C to 0.31 °C, whereas the R2 increased from 0.79 to 0.94; On rainy days, the MAE and RMSE decreased from 0.54 °C to 0.33 °C, and from 0.70 °C to 0.46 °C, whereas the R2 increased from 0.72 to 0.89. The combined 1DCNN-BiLSTM prediction model achieved better prediction performance compared with the conventional models, such as BiLSTM, 1DCNN, TCN, and Transformer. In summary, the 1DCNN-BiLSTM-DQN model can be expected to predict the temperature in duck houses. The findings can also provide data support for early environmental regulation, thereby reducing the risk of environmental stress in meat ducks.

meat ducks  /  temperature prediction  /  deep Q-network  /  long short-term memory neural network  /  convolutional neural network
Honglong LU, Junjie YUAN, Hulin LI, Qi RONG, Ben HUA, Shijia YING, Jizhang WANG. Temperature prediction models for meat duck breeding environment using CNN-BiLSTM-DQN[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2026 , 42 (12) : 73 -82 . DOI: 10.11975/j.issn.1002-6819.202512200
Year 2026 volume 42 Issue 12
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doi: 10.11975/j.issn.1002-6819.202512200
  • Receive Date:2025-12-23
  • Online Date:2026-08-20
  • Published:2026-06-30
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  • Received:2025-12-23
  • Revised:2026-05-29
Affiliations
    1College of Agricultural Engineering, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, China
    2Institute of Animal Husbandry, Jiangsu Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Nanjing 210014, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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