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Yield Prediction Model of Winter Wheat Based UAV-Multi-Temporal and Multi-Feature
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Zeyang ZHAO, Meiling LI, Wei XU, Bingxue LIU, Pengyu HUANG, Di KANG, Gaisheng ZHANG, Yulong SONG
Journal of Triticeae Crops | 2025, 45(8) : 1089 - 1100
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Journal of Triticeae Crops | 2025, 45(8): 1089-1100
• Physiology, Ecology and Cultivation •
Yield Prediction Model of Winter Wheat Based UAV-Multi-Temporal and Multi-Feature
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Zeyang ZHAO, Meiling LI, Wei XU, Bingxue LIU, Pengyu HUANG, Di KANG, Gaisheng ZHANG, Yulong SONG
Affiliations
  • College of Agronomy, Northwest A&F University/National Yangling Agricultural Biotechnology & Breeding Center/Yangling Branch of State Wheat Improvement Center/Wheat Breeding Engineering Research Center, Ministry of Education/Key Laboratory of Crop Heterosis of Shaanxi Province, Yangling, Shaanxi 712100, China
Published: 2025-08-15 doi: 10.7606/j.issn.1009-1041.2025.08.11
Outline
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In order to realize the accurate estimation of winter wheat yield, this study used an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) to collect multi-temporal canopy multispectral data from 266 wheat varieties (lines), extracted multiple vegetation indices, and established a single-fertility and multi-fertility combined single-stage and multi-stage based on machine learning algorithms, such as multiple linear regression (PLSR), support vector regression (SVR), random forest (RF), and back-propagation neural network (BP), to set up. wheat grain yield prediction model. At the same time, the coefficient of determination (R2) and root mean square error (RMSE) were used to evaluate the models. It was found that the yield prediction with a single growth stage was best at mid-filling stage, and the optimal model was the RF model with the prediction accuracy of R2=0.655 and RMSE=0.550 kg·m-2 and the optimal model for the yield prediction model with a combination of multi-growth stages was the RF model based on multi-spectral data from the five development stages (flowering, mid-filling, late-filling, dough and full-maturity), with the prediction accuracy of R2=0.834, RMSE=0.381 kg·m-2. Meanwhile, the accuracy of the winter wheat yield prediction model was further improved after adding textural features to the modeling features. Based on a single stage, the optimal prediction stage for the vegetation index combined with textural features was the combination of dough and full-maturity stages, and the optimal model was the SVR model, with the prediction accuracy of R2=0.924 and RMSE=0.253 kg·m-2. Therefore, unmanned canopy spectra can be used to predict winter wheat yield based on vegetation indices plus textural features, with the best prediction accuracy based on SVR models with multiple growth stages (dough and full-maturity).

Vegetation index  /  Texture features  /  Multiple fertility periods  /  Winter wheat  /  Yield prediction model
赵泽阳, 李美玲, 徐伟, 刘冰雪, 黄鹏宇, 康迪, 张改生, 宋瑜龙. 基于无人机多时相多特征的冬小麦产量预测模型研究. 麦类作物学报, 2025 , 45 (8) : 1089 -1100 . DOI: 10.7606/j.issn.1009-1041.2025.08.11
Zeyang ZHAO, Meiling LI, Wei XU, Bingxue LIU, Pengyu HUANG, Di KANG, Gaisheng ZHANG, Yulong SONG. Yield Prediction Model of Winter Wheat Based UAV-Multi-Temporal and Multi-Feature[J]. Journal of Triticeae Crops, 2025 , 45 (8) : 1089 -1100 . DOI: 10.7606/j.issn.1009-1041.2025.08.11
Year 2025 volume 45 Issue 8
143
26
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doi: 10.7606/j.issn.1009-1041.2025.08.11
  • Receive Date:2024-07-15
  • Online Date:2026-09-18
  • Published:2025-08-15
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  • Received:2024-07-15
  • Revised:2024-08-23
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    College of Agronomy, Northwest A&F University/National Yangling Agricultural Biotechnology & Breeding Center/Yangling Branch of State Wheat Improvement Center/Wheat Breeding Engineering Research Center, Ministry of Education/Key Laboratory of Crop Heterosis of Shaanxi Province, Yangling, Shaanxi 712100, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)
属
Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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