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Three-decade evolution of global burden of cancer among women of child-bearing age (1990—2021): an age-stratified and socio-demographic index-based analysis based on GBD data
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Xin DU, Yunhai CHUAI, Zhimin SUN, Tong DONG, Juanjuan SHENG, Jinfang GAO, Wei SHANG, Hongmei LI, Yan WEI
Journal of Army Medical University | 2026, 48(7) : 963 - 970
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Journal of Army Medical University | 2026, 48(7): 963-970
• Think Tank for Public Health •
Three-decade evolution of global burden of cancer among women of child-bearing age (1990—2021): an age-stratified and socio-demographic index-based analysis based on GBD data
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Xin DU, Yunhai CHUAI, Zhimin SUN, Tong DONG, Juanjuan SHENG, Jinfang GAO, Wei SHANG, Hongmei LI, Yan WEI
Affiliations
  • 1Senior Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China
Published: 2026-04-15 doi: 10.16016/j.2097-0927.202512133
Outline
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Objective

Malignant neoplasms represent a major public health threat to women of child-bearing age (WCBA) worldwide, with incidence rates significantly higher than those in men of comparable age. However, systematic research remains lacking regarding the long-term evolution patterns of WCBA-specific cancer disease burden and their socioeconomic determinants across extended timeframes. This study aims to comprehensively evaluate the disease burden and spatiotemporal trends of 30 cancer types among global WCBA from 1990 to 2021, providing scientific evidence for developing targeted precision prevention and control strategies for female malignancies.

Methods

A cross-sectional design was adopted in this study, and the data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021 on the incidence, prevalence, and disability- adjusted life-years (DALYs) of 30 cancers among WCBA from 1990 to 2021 were extracted. Stratification was performed by age groups (15 to 29 and 30 to 49 years old) and socio-demographic index (SDI). Incidence rates, DALYs rates, and their estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) with 95%CI were calculated. Spearman correlation analysis and restricted cubic spline (RCS) models were applied to fit the non-linear relationship between disease burden and SDI (significance level P<0.05).

Results

In 2021, the 3 leading cancers by incidence among global WCBA were breast cancer (28.81/100 000, 95%UI: 26.84 to 30.94), cervical cancer (15.77/100 000, 95%UI: 14.40 to 17.23), and ovarian cancer (4.40/100 000, 95%UI: 3.86 to 4.88). From 1990 to 2021, the incidence of colorectal cancer demonstrated a significant upward trend (EAPC=0.48, 95%CI: 0.42 to 0.55, P<0.05), whereas the burden of stomach cancer (EAPC=-2.01, 95%CI: -2.07 to -1.95, P<0.05) and leukemia (EAPC=-0.90, 95%CI: -0.97 to -0.83, P<0.05) declined significantly. RCS fitting revealed significant non-linear correlations between disease burden of tracheal, bronchial, and lung cancer and SDI (P for non-linearity <0.05), with the incidence peaking at an SDI of approximately 0.8. Age-stratified analysis indicated that the 15 to 29 years age group was predominantly affected by leukemia and central nervous system tumors, while the burden in the 30 to 49 years age group concentrated on breast cancer, cervical cancer, and colorectal cancer.

Conclusion

Between 1990 and 2021, the overall cancer burden among global WCBA remained substantial, with significant evolutionary shifts in the disease spectrum. Cancer incidences demonstrate close associations with socio-economic development levels, characterized by high incidence in high-SDI regions coupled with low DALYs. This study provides macro-level data support for developing intervention strategies that integrate cancer prevention and control with reproductive health management. Countermeasures Health policymakers are recommended to implement stratified precision prevention and control policies based on age and regional SDI levels: for the 15- to 29- years-old population, priority should be given to promoting HPV vaccination and implementing fertility preservation measures during antineoplastic therapy; for those aged 30 to 49 years, coverage of combined breast and cervical cancer screening should be expanded, and early intervention for metabolic-related tumors such as colorectal cancer should be incorporated into workplace and community health management systems.

neoplasms  /  global burden of disease  /  child-bearing age  /  disability-adjusted life-years  /  socioeconomic factors
杜昕, 揣云海, 孙志敏, 董彤, 圣娟娟, 高金芳, 商微, 李泓玫, 魏燕. 全球育龄妇女癌症负担三十年变迁(1990—2021):基于GBD数据的年龄和社会人口指数的分层分析. 陆军军医大学学报, 2026 , 48 (7) : 963 -970 . DOI: 10.16016/j.2097-0927.202512133
Xin DU, Yunhai CHUAI, Zhimin SUN, Tong DONG, Juanjuan SHENG, Jinfang GAO, Wei SHANG, Hongmei LI, Yan WEI. Three-decade evolution of global burden of cancer among women of child-bearing age (1990—2021): an age-stratified and socio-demographic index-based analysis based on GBD data[J]. Journal of Army Medical University, 2026 , 48 (7) : 963 -970 . DOI: 10.16016/j.2097-0927.202512133
Year 2026 volume 48 Issue 7
117
52
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doi: 10.16016/j.2097-0927.202512133
  • Receive Date:2025-12-22
  • Online Date:2026-10-23
  • Published:2026-04-15
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History
  • Received:2025-12-22
  • Revised:2026-02-09
Affiliations
    1Senior Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
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属
Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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