In order to improve the accuracy of ultrashortterm power prediction of wind turbines, this paper proposes a CNNBiLSTM ultrashortterm power prediction method considering the health status of wind turbines and dual attention mechanism. Firstly, considering the influence of the interaction between the environmental factors and the components of the wind turbine on the output power of the wind turbine, he relative error of the normal operation of each component of the wind turbine is used as the deterioration degree of the monitoring index. Secondly, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method assesses the health of wind turbines, and the historical data set is categorized based on the evaluation results. Finally, the dual attention mechanism CNN BiLSTM model is used to construct an ultrashortterm power prediction model for the classified data set. The experimental results show that the RMSE and MAE considering the health status of wind turbines are reduced by 17.3% and 20.5% respectively compared with the RSME and MSE without considering the health status of wind turbines.
| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |