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With the largescale integration of distributed power sources, the shortcircuit current characteristics of large power grids become more complex and difficult to predict. Based on this, this article proposes a new energy grid shortcircuit current prediction technology based on improved convolutional neural networks. Firstly, analyze the characteristics of shortcircuit current, perform variational mode decomposition on shortcircuit current, and obtain the intrinsic mode function; Secondly, the convolutional neural network is improved by utilizing multiscale feature extraction to maximize the features of current fault data, introducing attention mechanisms to extract important information, and using skip connections during the convolutional process to prevent information loss during forward transmission, which is beneficial for improving the accuracy of prediction. A shortcircuit current prediction model based on the improved convolutional neural network is constructed; Finally, the PSCAD/EMTDC power grid model was validated, and the experimental results showed that the proposed method has high accuracy in predicting the peak shortcircuit current. Compared with common limit learning machines and support vector machines, the average relative error decreased by 0.61% and 1.09%, respectively. This verified the effectiveness of the proposed method and laid the foundation for limiting shortcircuit current in large power grids.
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| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |
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