In order to address the problem of slope stability for a valley dumpsite in one mountain area, numerical simulation was conducted with FLAC^3D for the stability of slope under three working conditions, including natural state, rainstorm case and earthquake occurrence. The stability and reliability of the dump under conditions of rainstorm plus seismic was evaluated with introduced Monte Carlo algorithm. Results show that the overall and part of dumpsite slope, under all three working conditions of natural state, rainstorm and earthquake, can be in a stable state, and the overall safety factors present a normal distribution and are mainly within the range of 2.0-2.1, consistent with the numerical simulation results (2.08); under conditions of rainstorm plus seismic, the probability for the overall dumpsite to be unstable is 0, while some parts of dumpsite have a 35.99% probability to be unstable. It is shown that the numerical simulation value and on-site monitoring result present a deviation from 9.8% to 15.4% based on the comparison.

dumpsite  /  slope stability  /  numerical simulation  /  safety factor  /  reliability analysis  /  Monte Carlo method