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Neural Network Prediction and Sensitivity Analysis of Geotechnical Thermophysical Parameters
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Zhaoming YAO1, 2, Xiaolong WANG1, 2, Xun WANG1, 2, Hang WEI1, 2, Penghui LI3, Qin FANG4
Science Technology and Industry | 2025, 25(14) : 55 - 63
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Science Technology and Industry | 2025, 25(14): 55-63
Technology Innovation
Neural Network Prediction and Sensitivity Analysis of Geotechnical Thermophysical Parameters
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Zhaoming YAO1, 2, Xiaolong WANG1, 2, Xun WANG1, 2, Hang WEI1, 2, Penghui LI3, Qin FANG4
Affiliations
  • 1 College of Civil Engineering, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan 232001, Anhui, China
  • 2 Engineering Research Cener of Underground Mine Construction, Ministry of Education, Huainan 232001, Anhui, China
  • 3 Geological team of Shandong Provincial Bureau of Geology and Mineral Resources, Jinan 250000, China
  • 4 The First Geological Brigade of Jiangsu Geological Bureau, Nanjing 210042, China
Published: 2025-07-25
Outline
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With the development of engineering in cold regions, it is important to accurately derive the thermoplastic parameters of soils under freeze-thaw conditions. In view of the large error of the commonly used BP neural network to predict the thermal property parameters, 120 sets of thermal property parameters of frozen and thawed soil were used as samples, and the prediction model was improved by Bayesian regularization method to establish a multi-input and multi-output BP neural network, and the prediction accuracy of the model was significantly improved. Sensitivity analyses of the Bayesian neural network and random forest model were carried out with the improved Monte Carlo method and SHAP interpretation, respectively. The results show that the freeze-thaw condition does not change the sensitivity ranking of the influencing factors. The sensitivity of volumetric heat capacity and thermal conductivity to water content, dry density, and soil quality decreases in the order of freezing and thawing state, and the sensitivity of thermal conductivity to soil quality, water content and dry density decreases in the order of soil quality, water content and dry density.

thermal parameter  /  BP neural network  /  Bayesian regularization  /  Monte Carlo  /  SHAP
Zhaoming YAO, Xiaolong WANG, Xun WANG, Hang WEI, Penghui LI, Qin FANG. Neural Network Prediction and Sensitivity Analysis of Geotechnical Thermophysical Parameters[J]. Science Technology and Industry, 2025 , 25 (14) : 55 -63 .
Year 2025 volume 25 Issue 14
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Article Info
  • Receive Date:2025-01-06
  • Online Date:2025-09-15
  • Published:2025-07-25
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  • Received:2025-01-06
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Affiliations
    1 College of Civil Engineering, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan 232001, Anhui, China
    2 Engineering Research Cener of Underground Mine Construction, Ministry of Education, Huainan 232001, Anhui, China
    3 Geological team of Shandong Provincial Bureau of Geology and Mineral Resources, Jinan 250000, China
    4 The First Geological Brigade of Jiangsu Geological Bureau, Nanjing 210042, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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