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Effect of Agricultural Industrial Structure Adjustment in Guizhou Province:Empirical Analysis Based on VAR and ARDL Models
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Shangzhao YANG1, Hongsheng ZHANG1, Jianwu CHEN2
Science Technology and Industry | 2025, 25(2) : 204 - 211
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Science Technology and Industry | 2025, 25(2): 204-211
Regional Practice
Effect of Agricultural Industrial Structure Adjustment in Guizhou Province:Empirical Analysis Based on VAR and ARDL Models
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Shangzhao YANG1, Hongsheng ZHANG1, Jianwu CHEN2
Affiliations
  • 1 School of Economics and Management, Guiyang Institute of Humanities and Science, Guiyang 550025, China
  • 2 Shizhen College of Guizhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guiyang 550025, China
Published: 2025-01-25
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With the development of economic level, the agricultural industrial structure is also constantly adjusted. Based on the time series data of Guizhou Province from 1988 to 2022, the function of agricultural output value was constructed, and the vector autoregressive (VAR) model and the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model were used to analyze the correlation of planting industry, forestry industry, animal husbandry industry and fishery industry in the total value of agricultural industry in Guizhou Province. The empirical results show that planting and animal husbandry are the main driving forces of the total agricultural output value in Guizhou province, while forestry and fishery have little influence. It is suggested to focus on optimizing the development strategy of planting and animal husbandry, and promoting sustainable agricultural practices and ecological breeding modes, adjusting forestry development strategy, balancing short-term economic benefits and long-term ecological benefits, developing understory economy. The fishery industry should develop steadily and promote fine breeding and ecological breeding technology. At the same time, all industries should strengthen industrial coordination and the government should formulate differentiated policy support to give full play to the advantages of all industries, improve production efficiency and promote the sustainable and stable growth of the total agricultural output value.

agricultural industrial structure  /  agricultural output value  /  VAR and ARDL models
Shangzhao YANG, Hongsheng ZHANG, Jianwu CHEN. Effect of Agricultural Industrial Structure Adjustment in Guizhou Province:Empirical Analysis Based on VAR and ARDL Models[J]. Science Technology and Industry, 2025 , 25 (2) : 204 -211 .
Year 2025 volume 25 Issue 2
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Article Info
  • Receive Date:2024-08-09
  • Online Date:2025-07-21
  • Published:2025-01-25
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  • Received:2024-08-09
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Affiliations
    1 School of Economics and Management, Guiyang Institute of Humanities and Science, Guiyang 550025, China
    2 Shizhen College of Guizhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guiyang 550025, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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