In order to deeply grasp the breakdown characteristics of AC 500 kV cross-linked polyethylene (XLPE) submarine cable insulation materials under electrical-thermal stress and establish an electrical-thermal combined lifetime model, we conducted electrical-thermal breakdown experiments on the XLPE material at 25, 40, 55, 70℃ under step stress firstly. The AC electric strength and voltage duration time were analyzed by Weibull distribution to obtain the equivalent AC electric strength and voltage duration time at different temperatures. Then the FALLOU, SIMONI, CRINE models were established by multiple linear regression method, and their error was analyzed. Finally, an E-T lifetime model for the AC 500 kV XLPE material was constructed. The results show that at the same temperature, the equivalent electric strength decreases with the increase of voltage duration time of each voltage stage. At the same voltage duration time of each stage, with the increase of temperature, the equivalent AC electric strength and voltage duration time both firstly increase and then decrease. The analysis on the electrical-thermal lifetime models indicate that the fitting error of FALLOU, SIMONI, CRINE models is large, and their fitting goodness do not meet the accuracy requirements. An improved electric-thermal combined ageing lifetime model is obtained by using stepwise regression to calculate the significance and correlation between electric-thermal variables and lifetime, and the error analysis show that it has better fitting accuracy.
| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |