PDF
Full
Outline
Disruptive technology possesses the potential to revolutionize mainstream technology trajectories, reshape industry market structures, and redefine the rules of international competition. How it evolves from a marginal force into a mainstream power in the future is of practical significance for technological self-reliance and self-improvement. Based on the innovation theory, the technology-application-ecology (TAE) framework was constructed to analyze the evolutionary paths of disruptive technologies and their mechanisms of action. A process of systemic change was observed through research during the transition of disruptive technologies from marginal forces to future mainstream power. This process is characterized by a dynamic technological evolution trajectory of germination-proliferation-recursion, an application leap path progressing from initial, to intermediate and target, and ultimately to future scenarios, as well as a process of innovation ecosystem transformation that evolves through arboreal, circular, and network-like structures. The systemic revolution of disruptive technologies is intricately shaped by a range of factors: the integrative development of converging technologies, the intensive interplay between technology and its applications, and the dynamic transformation of competitive advantages and disadvantages in latecomer scenarios. It encompasses three critical conditions for the conversion of latecomer advantages: technological bifurcation, application leaps, and ecological collaboration. Finally, policy insights are achieved from various aspects, including emphasizing technology science, strengthening demand-side management, optimizing the innovation ecosystem, and seizing policy opportunities.
PDF
232
109
| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |
关闭全屏
No. 86 Xueyuan South Road, Haidian District, Beijing
010-62199257
qkjq@cast.org.cn
Copyright © 2025 China Association for Science and Technology. All rights reserved. For all open access content, the relevant licensing terms apply.
Sponsored by the Office of the Leading Group for Cybersecurity and Informatization of CAST, and supported by Science and Technology Review Publishing House
