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Analysis of rapid changes of tropical cyclones over the South China Sea for 1949–2017
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Fei Liao1, Wenting Li2, Ziran Zhang3, Ran Su1, Yanbin Qi4, 5
Haiyang Xuebao | 2019, 41(9) : 126 - 135
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Haiyang Xuebao | 2019, 41(9): 126-135
Physical Oceanography, Marine Meteorology and Marine Physics
Analysis of rapid changes of tropical cyclones over the South China Sea for 1949–2017
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Fei Liao1, Wenting Li2, Ziran Zhang3, Ran Su1, Yanbin Qi4, 5
Affiliations
  • 1 Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory, Guangzhou 511430, China
  • 2 School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
  • 3 Qingyuan Meteorological Service, Qingyuan 511515, China
  • 4 Joint Open Laboratory for Weather Modification of China Meteorological Administration/People’s Government of Jilin Province, Changchun 130062, China
  • 5 Jilin Weather Modification Office, Changchun 130062, China
Published: 2019-09-25 doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-4193.2019.09.012
Outline
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The statistical characteristics of rapid changes of different grade tropical cyclone intensity and path in the South China Sea are analyzed by the best track data set of tropical cyclones for 69 years from 1949 to 2017 compiled by Shanghai Typhoon Institute of China Meteorological Administrator. The results show that: (1) The change from a severe tropical storm to a typhoon, and from a typhoon to a severe typhoon, are the most frequent events of rapid intensity changes. Most tropical cyclones experience intensity change no more than twice. However, most of the rapid intensifying tropical cyclones occur mainly outside the South China Sea in the western Pacific, and the probability of rapid intensifying over the South China Sea is only 9.8%. (2) The duration of intensity maintenance has an important effect on rapid intensity changes for different grade tropical cyclones. It is the highest rapid change stage during the first 24 hours. Rapid intensity change to typhoon or above grade is easily to occur when the decreasing velocity of central pressure exceeds –12.0 hPa/(6 h). Moreover, the rapid intensifying of tropical cyclones is easily to occur in areas with high sea surface temperature. (3) The deflection of the tropical cyclone path in the South China Sea is mainly in the westbound path, in which the deflection of 5°–30° is the most common, accounting for 48.65% of the total number of tropical cyclones. However, According to the defined path mutation criterion, the probability of path sharp turning is only 15.13%. With the increase of tropical cyclone intensity, the frequency of path sharp turning in the South China Sea decreases rapidly, and the path sharp turning occurs mainly in the coastal area and the east-central region of the South China Sea. This work further refines and enriches the understanding of the intensity and path rapid changes of tropical cyclones in the South China Sea.

tropical cyclones  /  intensity  /  path  /  rapid change  /  the South China Sea
Fei Liao, Wenting Li, Ziran Zhang, Ran Su, Yanbin Qi. Analysis of rapid changes of tropical cyclones over the South China Sea for 1949–2017[J]. Haiyang Xuebao, 2019 , 41 (9) : 126 -135 . DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-4193.2019.09.012
Year 2019 volume 41 Issue 9
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Article Info
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-4193.2019.09.012
  • Receive Date:2018-07-30
  • Online Date:2026-04-03
  • Published:2019-09-25
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  • Received:2018-07-30
  • Revised:2018-10-31
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Affiliations
    1 Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory, Guangzhou 511430, China
    2 School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
    3 Qingyuan Meteorological Service, Qingyuan 511515, China
    4 Joint Open Laboratory for Weather Modification of China Meteorological Administration/People’s Government of Jilin Province, Changchun 130062, China
    5 Jilin Weather Modification Office, Changchun 130062, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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