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Post-seismic Coulomb stress simulation and seismic hazard analysis of the 2025 Myanmar MW7.7 earthquake
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Sheng Liua, b, c, Hongbo Tana, b, c, *, Guangliang Yanga, b, c, Haitao Qina, b, c, Hengzhou Menga, b, c, Tianxiang Zhoua, b, c, Ziheng Chena, b, c
Geodesy and Geodynamics | 2026, 17(3) : 373 - 382
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Geodesy and Geodynamics | 2026, 17(3): 373-382
Research Paper
Post-seismic Coulomb stress simulation and seismic hazard analysis of the 2025 Myanmar MW7.7 earthquake
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Sheng Liua, b, c, Hongbo Tana, b, c, *, Guangliang Yanga, b, c, Haitao Qina, b, c, Hengzhou Menga, b, c, Tianxiang Zhoua, b, c, Ziheng Chena, b, c
Affiliations
  • aInstitute of Seismology, China Earthquake Administration, Wuhan 430071, China
  • bHubei Earthquake Administration, Wuhan 430071, China
  • cKey Laboratory of Earthquake Geodesy, China Earthquake Administration, Wuhan 430071, China
  • Sheng Liu, Master Candidate, Student of the Department of Geophysics at the Institute of Seismology, China Earthquake Administration. His research interests mainly include earthquake data processing and using Coulomb stress to conduct seismic hazard analysis.

Published: 2026-05-10 doi: 10.1016/j.geog.2025.09.003
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On March 28, 2025, an MW7.7 earthquake struck Myanmar, with the epicenter located in the central segment of the Qinghai-Xizang-Yunnan-Myanmar-Indonesia η-type structure. This region hosts a series of active faults, including the right-lateral Sagaing Fault and the Red River Fault in southwestern Yunnan. Based on the fault geometry model published by Zhang et al. and the Crust1.0 layered medium model, this study simulates the co-seismic and post-seismic Coulomb stress changes at depths of 5, 10, and 15 km on the main fault zones within the study area. The results indicate that the earthquake was dominated by Coulomb stress unloading, with localized loading observed at the northern and southern ends of the rupture. On the Sagaing Fault, Coulomb stress changes were dominated by unloading: average decreases ranged from - 2.4 to - 4.7 bar across all depths and timescales, indicating a low likelihood of large-scale rupture on that fault. However, in the northern segment of the rupture, localized stress loading exceeded the critical threshold of 0.1 bar, suggesting a possible enhancement of local seismic hazard. In southwestern Yunnan, co-seismic Coulomb stress loading at all depths ranged from - 0.37 × 10-2 to 1.8 × 10-2 bar. Post-seismic stress changes were minor, with a maximum of 3.2 × 10-3 bar. These results imply that the MW7.7 event induced only subtle adjustments to the long-term tectonic stress field in southwestern Yunnan; nevertheless, the presence of stress-loading regions within seismic gaps warrants continued attention to potential hazard.

Myanmar earthquake  /  Coulomb failure stress change  /  The Sagaing fault  /  Southwest Yunnan
Sheng Liu, Hongbo Tan, Guangliang Yang, Haitao Qin, Hengzhou Meng, Tianxiang Zhou, Ziheng Chen. Post-seismic Coulomb stress simulation and seismic hazard analysis of the 2025 Myanmar MW7.7 earthquake[J]. Geodesy and Geodynamics, 2026 , 17 (3) : 373 -382 . DOI: 10.1016/j.geog.2025.09.003
  • Science for Earthquake Resilience(XH23014YC)
  • National Natural Science Foundation of China(42174104)
  • Hubei Province Natural Science Foundation(2022CFB350)
  • Key Project of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(U1939204)
  • Special Project for Basic Resources Survey of the Ministry of Science and Technology(2023FY10150502)
Year 2026 volume 17 Issue 3
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Article Info
doi: 10.1016/j.geog.2025.09.003
  • Receive Date:2025-04-30
  • Online Date:2026-07-23
  • Published:2026-05-10
Article Data
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History
  • Received:2025-04-30
  • Revised:2025-07-25
  • Accepted:2025-09-02
Funding
Science for Earthquake Resilience(XH23014YC)
National Natural Science Foundation of China(42174104)
Hubei Province Natural Science Foundation(2022CFB350)
Key Project of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(U1939204)
Special Project for Basic Resources Survey of the Ministry of Science and Technology(2023FY10150502)
Affiliations
    aInstitute of Seismology, China Earthquake Administration, Wuhan 430071, China
    bHubei Earthquake Administration, Wuhan 430071, China
    cKey Laboratory of Earthquake Geodesy, China Earthquake Administration, Wuhan 430071, China

Corresponding:

* Corresponding author. Key Laboratory of Earthquake Geodesy, Institute of Seismology, China Earthquake Administration, Wuhan 430071, China. E-mail address: (H. Tan).
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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