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Improving the zonal management of the ecosystem service (ES) supply-demand balance requires a thorough understanding of its spatiotemporal variability and the nonlinear characteristics of the driving mechanisms. Coordinated social-ecological development at the regional level depends on this understanding. Consequently, we delineated bundles of the ES supply-demand relationship within the Harbin-Changchun urban agglomeration, examined interactions between ES supply and demand across these bundles, and investigated the mechanisms by which social-ecological drivers shape the spatial pattern of this relationship over an extended time series. The findings show that deficit areas for the 5 ESs are concentrated in construction zones and have expanded annually; synergies outweigh trade-offs among the 5 bundles, and the trade-off relationship intensifies markedly over time. Social drivers dominate bundles 1 (key synergetic bundle), 2 (carbon fixation-water yield-crop production synergetic bundle), and 5 (carbon fixation-crop production-habitat quality synergetic bundle), whereas ecological drivers prevail in bundles 3 (water yield bundle) and 4 (ecological transition bundle). The ES supply-demand relationship is increasingly strained by social disturbances over time. A normalized value near 0.5 emerges as a recurrent threshold at which the effects of several metrics such as digital elevation model, average precipitation, and normalized difference vegetation index shift over a 20-year period. Implementing precise optimization and rational planning for bundle-level ecological management benefits sustainable development and human well-being.
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| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |
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